NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88c0bedd8702a320f69dddb37411b265ac1e146b2237ea70e0b79bee462233f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 47c | 97,059$45,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,441.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 53c | 89,867$47,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,616.02 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Pistons | 47c | 27,219$12,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,498.38 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons | 47c | 22,269$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,769.08 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 52c | 13,334$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.75 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 53c | 11,456$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 54c | 8,215$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Magic | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Magic | 53c | 7,798$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.94 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 47c | 7,599$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Magic | 53c | 7,415$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 47c | 6,730$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Magic | 53c | 6,213$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Magic | 53c | 6,160$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Magic | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 52c | 5,290$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 53c | 4,917$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 38c | 4,880$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 47c | 4,855$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.29 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Magic | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Magic | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…d005backed Magic | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Magic | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 36c | 3,640$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Magic | 53c | 3,363$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 53c | 3,320$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.49 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Magic | 53c | 3,000$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Magic | 53c | 2,980$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.4 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons | 46c | 2,614$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.45 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed Magic | 2c | 2,532$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Magic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Magic | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Magic | 53c | 1,600$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.26 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 53c | 1,600$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons | 59c | 1,349$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.96 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,339$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 35c | 1,246$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Pistons | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.33 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Magic | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.37 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Magic | 53c | 1,055$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Magic | 53c | 1,027$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.17 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Magic | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Magic | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -13.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Pistons | 47c | 859.94$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.77 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Magic | 53c | 848.92$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons | 48c | 841.23$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.44 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Magic | 51c | 801.81$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.8 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 53c | 800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Pistons | 39c | 767.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.61 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Pistons | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Pistons | 46c | 692.1$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.74 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Magic | 53c | 601.35$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.72 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Magic | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Pistons | 47c | 525$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Pistons | 47c | 496.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.91 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Pistons | 8c | 470.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 52c | 468.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Magic | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Magic | 54c | 411.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Magic | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Magic | 54c | 311$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Magic | 54c | 309$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 10c | 299.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Magic | 65c | 282.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Magic | 49c | 261.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Pistons | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Magic | 53c | 236.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Magic | 46c | 216$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Pistons | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Magic | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Pistons | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…8d65backed Magic | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pistons | 47c | 190.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 32c | 190.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Magic | 68c | 187.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Magic | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Magic | 48c | 153.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Pistons | 47c | 153.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Magic | 36c | 152.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Magic | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Magic | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 47c | 136.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pistons | 47c | 136.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Pistons | 47c | 134.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Magic | 77c | 125.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Magic | 60c | 121.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Pistons | 47c | 118.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Magic | 54c | 114.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons | 45c | 113.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pistons | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 176.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 181.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 195.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 198.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 205.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 208.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.