TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$569,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$589,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c234,649$118,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,771.6569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.984951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under49c77,943$38,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,750.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c50,455$24,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,732.1837627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Under51c39,261$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,261.145036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over51c38,007$19,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,383.412454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Under50c32,500$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,250.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over49c32,423$15,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,887.262268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over52c19,207$9,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,991.049945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c17,020$8,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over49c14,946$7,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,323.6415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under49c12,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,12027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under51c11,631$5,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,753.8711864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under49c8,234$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.345345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c7,011$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.3264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,939$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.7838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over43c6,758$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.732352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over45c6,496$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.2814953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c6,327$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.1121943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under51c6,244$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4514251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked Under49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under50c5,100$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.0810248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c4,995$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.4565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over51c4,900$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49910949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,640$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Over49c4,520$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over34c4,349$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c3,810$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over43c3,799$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.6237755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed Over44c3,721$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47017055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c2,504$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.0882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c2,390$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.972,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under49c2,297$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.471,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under49c1,969$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3918343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c1,825$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c1,755$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under49c1,338$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,321$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.392,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Over3c1,068$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed Over50c1,044$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+77%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58b…ed60backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Under49c991.16$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.495048%24 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c930$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over48c917.1$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2116249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over50c913.6$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.85839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over48c799.96$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9811242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.315635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c768$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c755.73$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dd…3dc6backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c688.85$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Over43c644$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c610.86$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3068148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c592.63$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c555$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.631,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c518$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2597643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c506.43$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Under51c333$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.176958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130f…6e99backed Over48c297.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.125048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under48c284.07$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over48c250.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6593…d9f8backed Over45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over36c230$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c7…4f5ebacked Under51c210.39$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c204.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef6…38b5backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over46c198.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1385449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0818552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over51c172.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.