TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a54…7191

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
325
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$8,861.82
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,345.2
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,927Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,493.48
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,026.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,487.7
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,801.83
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+156.3%+$10,092.41
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43,983.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$16,361.36
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,030.87
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,460.5
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11,750.4
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,757.84
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,850.65
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$867.51
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,614.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,539.61
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,859.59
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$8,954
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,430.27
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,537.9
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$749.52
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+114%+$9,649.88
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$877.2
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$9,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$16,045.87
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,374.25
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$5,292.99
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,876
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.39
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,991Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$4,994.94
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,530.23
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,197.78
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,802.37
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.12
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,519.29
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,751.91
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,975.18
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,021.9
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$916.05
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,100
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)backed Club Independiente Petrolero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.98
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,977.97
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)backed Club Libertad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,070.23
CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$617.48
América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,509.2
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,425Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,636.81
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.44
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$867.63
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$1,552.94
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.24
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,353.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.32
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,023.14
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,536.06
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,226.73
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,636.18
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,253.39
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,593.21
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+93%+$2,226.96
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,103.07
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,070.47
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,193.93
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,990.71
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,277.08
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,339Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,338.63
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,312.79
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,968.85
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.5
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,875.73
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,446.89
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,098.53
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.71
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,905.1
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,181.11
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,093.26
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.84
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.65
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,596.99
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,889.13
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,238.99
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$656
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,532.84
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,806.03
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,532.55
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,616.76
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,445.37
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,373.98
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$8,587.64
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,961Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,961
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$584.6
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,627.86
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,013.04
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,040.97
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.12
Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$790.06
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,562.14
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,238.97
Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,642.72
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945.24
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$7,639.18
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,061.45
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,037.01
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,428Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,526.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,325.03
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.49
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,261.57
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$466.2
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,305.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$7,243.55
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19,123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$16,477.04
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11,052.51
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$882
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,591Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,334.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,157.57
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189.56
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,442.65
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380.18
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.78
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,950.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,467.7
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$2,561.36
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,932.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.79
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,916.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,018.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,816.02
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,474.35
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,529Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,528.93
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,138.4
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,491.81
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,588
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.46
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,439.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,180.56
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$861.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,563.88
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.68
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,981.29
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,038.05
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764.35
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,623Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,934.2
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,585.89
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,784.42
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,808.01
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,547.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.72
IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.94
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.89
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$739.02
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+144%+$1,891.28
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,038Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$8,261.54
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,595.45
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,171.66
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,929.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,210.98
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.46
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832.36
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.88
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$401.12
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$9,875.74
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,517Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,417.86
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,919Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,843.62
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.2
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,934.91
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.36
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$918
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,689.58
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,951.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13,913Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$18,461.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.