Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c9816580e8edaf53290acc97392068f86a642271a871254fe9ab6493576d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 57c | 87,938$50,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,124.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 43c | 15,104$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,595.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 43c | 15,066$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,587.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 12,235$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,626.46 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 43c | 9,320$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 8,159$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.84 | 1,449 | 36.8%533 W · 916 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 43c | 6,084$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 43c | 4,549$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 4,130$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.11 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 42c | 2,902$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.83 | 531 | 40.5%215 W · 316 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 43c | 2,832$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.51 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 60c | 2,089$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.27 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 26c | 2,043$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 76c | 2,013$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 62c | 1,941$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,885$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.13 | 996 | 45.4%452 W · 544 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 1,437$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 274 | 59.1%162 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.07 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 42c | 1,193$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.09 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.08 | 533 | 46.7%249 W · 284 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 892$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.7 | 377 | 49.9%188 W · 189 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 796.04$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.3 | 705 | 49.8%351 W · 354 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 769.82$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 485 | 45.2%219 W · 266 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 41c | 725$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.01 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 48c | 637$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.06 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 603.7$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 38c | 592$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 45c | 580.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 562$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.82 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 560.85$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Yes | 36c | 557.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 506.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 731 | 50.8%371 W · 360 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 485.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 450 | 47.1%212 W · 238 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 18c | 465.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 420$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 24c | 418.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 320.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 452 | 40.5%183 W · 269 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 307.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,271 | 45.4%577 W · 694 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 305.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 552 | 49.3%272 W · 280 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 215$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 917 | 53.1%487 W · 430 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 35c | 212.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 209.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…09cabacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 181$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 805 | 58%467 W · 338 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 171.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 478 | 40.2%192 W · 286 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 40c | 162.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 40c | 156$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…9f9bbacked Yes | 61c | 149.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 149.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 446 | 50.7%226 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 135.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 682 | 50.7%346 W · 336 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 131.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 976 | 46.2%451 W · 525 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 129$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 1,306 | 51.2%669 W · 637 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 42c | 124.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 65c | 121.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 121.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 121.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 38c | 112.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 43c | 109.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 109.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 1,002 | 40.2%403 W · 599 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 43c | 106.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 39c | 102.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 22c | 91.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 43c | 64.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 59.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 42c | 56.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 55.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 972 | 56.5%549 W · 423 L | +71.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 75c | 55.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 43c | 42.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 43c | 36.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 58c | 36.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…8822backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 43c | 28.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.