TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No39c18,170$7,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,023.9477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes58c17,023$9,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,188.6598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c9,513$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.617549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No45c5,887$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.7399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c5,376$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.071,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c3,681$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.43,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes47c2,056$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c2,045$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.71,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes50c2,001$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.161376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No44c1,283$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6711454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes54c1,275$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.522042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe18…3980backed Yes48c1,060$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+201.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.419050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c931.61$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9145140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes55c912.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.425851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No27c871.1$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No23c835.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3413228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes79c753$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes56c704.2$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4810644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes50c703.65$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c703.56$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c607.83$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes57c508.77$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No18c499.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No49c390.63$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes42c357.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.43865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Yes67c348.87$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No37c326.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.36936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes18c313.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8918655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No73c291.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes70c260$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.523100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1158241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c182.45$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No20c174.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.491,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked No38c168.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes55c167.69$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8110249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes66c152.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.441675%12 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No54c150.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.244350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes71c141.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed No48c132.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.823259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No53c126.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No59c121.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes53c121.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.644447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed No51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No60c117.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes47c114.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Yes47c110.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes21c100.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.343842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No35c98.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.610753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes56c94.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.949660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes40c92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.357364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.335846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed No50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Yes59c77.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No32c76.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked No31c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes18c75.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.181650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Yes66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No80c70$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No40c69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3437249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes59c58.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No32c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.734663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2511…6d5fbacked Yes76c55.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No79c47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Yes60c43.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5636247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No56c33.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.014753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…c5a0backed Yes66c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yes61c29.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No41c28.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.564942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No53c22.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes53c22.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6823953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes59c22.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f82…c446backed No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No53c19.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes63c18.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No80c13.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.637456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.