Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x260babded49f2d862261d971caa8c5ae6b4cb36d922c0aea64bf928477cfabc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 10,893$8,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.49 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 5,357$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.24 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,739$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.2 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 25c | 1,703$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.25 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,649$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,479$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.58 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked No | 77c | 1,088$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 926.6$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 814$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 23c | 800.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 481.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 25c | 311.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 29c | 291$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 24c | 283.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 150.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +158%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 129.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 121.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 118.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 97.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 53.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 50.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 77c | 46.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 43.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.