TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6faf…de48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$754
Will Norway win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$234.99
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Belal Muhammad win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Santiago Luna win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$294.21
Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Christian Edwards win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Timmy Cuamba win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$54.06
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$81.71
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Alice Ardelean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$319.09
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$364.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paulbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodarbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jannik Sinner vs. Clement Tabur: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$150.65
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$375.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$93.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.