Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeefef4320deec275a7191ad901469eec59544dc1fd53fed93f6d3b97c33787a5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,683,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,786,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,683,265 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	1,465,534$10,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,134.16	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	0c	367,498$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.06	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	0c	108,847$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.41	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes	2c	101,189$2,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,394.26	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	75,991$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.47	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5099…9554backed Yes	0c	60,389$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	0c	53,599$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.85	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	52,404$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.36	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	2c	44,321$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.18	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	1c	42,784$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.17	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	0c	41,681$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…0bffbacked Yes	0c	41,413$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.24	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes	2c	39,619$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.14	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	1c	37,456$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.87	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	1c	37,168$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.78	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	0c	36,882$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	0c	34,907$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Yes	0c	34,796$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	0c	31,754$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.34	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	1cpaid	+1,149.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa561…f676backed Yes	0c	30,449$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.93	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes	1c	29,300$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.24	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	1c	28,859$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.13	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	3c	25,815$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.57	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4766…0286backed Yes	8c	22,828$1,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,826.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes	0c	22,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	0c	22,165$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.22	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes	1c	21,062$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.75	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	1c	20,697$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.2	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes	2c	20,525$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.09	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	0c	18,979$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	1c	17,665$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.02	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e57…53b3backed Yes	0c	17,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked Yes	6c	16,140$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.26	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes	6c	16,000$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	1c	15,126$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.98	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3879…d8c3backed Yes	0c	15,107$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	2c	14,856$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.57	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	13,194$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.51	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff0…8e88backed Yes	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa3e7…4bbfbacked Yes	3c	12,413$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.78	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	4c	12,338$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.8	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	0c	11,407$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb187…0ab8backed Yes	10c	11,155$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	10,947$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes	1c	10,062$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.17	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…6219backed Yes	0c	10,008$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x829e…e933backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	1c	10,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.64	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	1c	9,900$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Yes	3c	9,868$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	5c	9,672$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.26	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…314cbacked Yes	0c	9,301$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	9,186$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.13	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbf…22a9backed Yes	1c	8,449$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-73%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe425…00d4backed Yes	0c	7,600$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76ee…7d93backed Yes	0c	7,273$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2c…e130backed Yes	0c	7,224$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	2c	7,135$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.74	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	1c	7,034$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.38	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb7…6f64backed Yes	1c	7,032$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	0c	6,884$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	5c	6,674$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.5	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	0c	6,660$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes	8c	6,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d41…6acabacked Yes	3c	6,455$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.58	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+64%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8408…5dcabacked Yes	2c	6,454$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Yes	2c	6,366$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	1c	6,110$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.98	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	7c	5,934$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.26	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	2c	5,909$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.96	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes	1c	5,851$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.64	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes	1c	5,773$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.36	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	2c	5,513$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.85	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	2c	5,470$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.58	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	4c	5,401$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.47	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	2c	5,343$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.02	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…0742backed Yes	2c	5,279$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e6…7aa6backed Yes	2c	5,259$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.89	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes	1c	5,257$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.29	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	5,157$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.34	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Yes	1c	5,123$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.97	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+41%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa241…45f7backed Yes	10c	5,089$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	1c	5,051$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.93	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x144d…849cbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0605…1593backed Yes	1c	4,829$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4682…4d40backed Yes	1c	4,517$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes	1c	4,500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	9c	4,298$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.79	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5293…a25ebacked Yes	1c	4,090$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c65…3e45backed Yes	1c	4,065$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.36per pick	7cpaid	+545.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	1c	4,037$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	7c	4,000$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…2e65backed Yes	8c	3,931$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	1c	3,602$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.21	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…b1c2backed Yes	1c	3,591$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	3,579$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5531…a3e9backed Yes	1c	3,562$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.93	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	3,431$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event