Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c32760ae1745e223794ba2bacf00db770e31705f9b93766b5b11dcf67d43c8

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $440,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,260 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	0c	71,649$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.3	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3793…cf49backed Yes	1c	48,233$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.78	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked Yes	0c	30,393$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.18	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa688…0f82backed Yes	0c	24,179$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.41	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	1c	15,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.64	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab7…3892backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Yes	1c	9,571$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.71	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes	1c	9,400$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	8,512$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	1c	5,182$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.14	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	1c	5,051$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	1c	5,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…d1c1backed Yes	1c	4,862$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc08…6ba8backed Yes	1c	4,727$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	1c	3,279$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes	1c	3,112$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.63	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes	1c	2,980$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes	1c	2,857$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes	1c	2,845$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4105…a81bbacked Yes	1c	2,844$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefee…1c08backed Yes	2c	2,572$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Yes	4c	2,507$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.84	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,499$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc1…580fbacked Yes	1c	2,047$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+8.6wins	+0.15per pick	34cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9746…d36cbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…9b73backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b7…7672backed Yes	1c	1,543$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.21per pick	48cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	1c	1,540$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	1c	1,433$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes	1c	1,429$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4d77…af31backed Yes	1c	1,300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3714…ef45backed Yes	1c	1,082$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	1,045$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7e…ad9dbacked Yes	3c	372.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event