Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcc3bab5a77e2d377e5e1f96c87361b8a875d1c71a474c1b81ef1827683d2e4

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,100,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,628,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,100,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes	0c	308,326$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.67	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	277,180$2,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,261.79	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked Yes	0c	193,858$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.76	16	0%0 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	1c	86,441$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.68	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	1c	54,163$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.7	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	2c	32,215$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.58	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	0c	24,675$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	24,125$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.37	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes	2c	22,119$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	19,531$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.26	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes	0c	10,495$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	1c	10,194$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	1c	10,161$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.61	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x890d…3afcbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…2ff3backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	0c	10,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf178…07acbacked Yes	1c	9,340$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.84	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f5…a849backed Yes	1c	7,267$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	0c	6,668$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	1c	6,612$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.83	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes	0c	6,115$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	1c	5,648$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.7	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…4357backed Yes	1c	5,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes	1c	4,830$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.14	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Yes	2c	4,600$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	1c	4,490$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.73	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	1c	4,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes	1c	3,603$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	94	17%16 W · 78 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ce…5d26backed Yes	2c	3,287$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	91	8.8%8 W · 83 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	0c	3,090$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes	1c	3,071$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	226	27.9%63 W · 163 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	1c	2,478$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	2,347$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,323$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63f…4f7bbacked Yes	3c	2,244$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-73%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	1c	2,148$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…1cb2backed Yes	1c	2,125$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes	1c	2,036$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	1c	2,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes	2c	1,897$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes	2c	1,878$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7061…4591backed Yes	1c	1,775$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ed…6f16backed Yes	2c	1,573$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.38	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	2c	1,538$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.56	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765b…6bf8backed Yes	1c	1,496$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	2c	1,391$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8a…9b1ebacked Yes	2c	1,284$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x910b…4683backed Yes	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Yes	2c	1,030$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed9…06cabacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Yes	2c	999.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3003…dd1bbacked Yes	2c	982.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5600…e721backed Yes	2c	947.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	2c	900$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73a6…d207backed Yes	2c	900$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed Yes	3c	892.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda2e…6cc7backed Yes	1c	890.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	1c	888$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes	2c	807.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	127	33.1%42 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes	2c	789.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes	2c	738.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Yes	2c	714.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	702.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Yes	2c	629.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes	3c	600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes	2c	573.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…5397backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event