Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8763ee77aec9cc4223cd429c726d35877ddcc47da679d6428510a929286ad1

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $797,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $253,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,813 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	0c	67,691$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.16	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	0c	66,200$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Yes	1c	41,103$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.51	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-54%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	1c	28,594$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.51	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	0c	20,990$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.25	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6700…acfebacked Yes	0c	15,020$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	66	15.2%10 W · 56 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	2c	13,676$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.46	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16dc…30adbacked Yes	4c	12,220$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x702e…4357backed Yes	0c	11,025$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae3…eb2ebacked Yes	5c	10,823$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e40…c827backed Yes	5c	10,795$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	4c	10,111$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.12	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…e1f8backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890d…3afcbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes	4c	9,399$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.36	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes	4c	9,348$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.81	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe563…77efbacked Yes	4c	9,329$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes	4c	8,873$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.47	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29be…7675backed Yes	0c	7,268$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	1c	7,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576f…ed2cbacked Yes	0c	6,060$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…d8a2backed Yes	3c	6,024$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.71	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked Yes	1c	5,407$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.26	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Yes	4c	5,128$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbea…ea49backed Yes	2c	4,200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…27acbacked Yes	5c	4,135$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf065…4b29backed Yes	1c	4,097$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	2c	3,994$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b4…9cb0backed Yes	4c	3,594$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+60.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a64…efd5backed Yes	1c	3,287$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.71	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	2,694$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	4c	2,604$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes	4c	2,439$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	1c	2,387$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	1c	2,372$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.33	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	3c	2,274$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.15	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…6be8backed Yes	4c	2,222$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x25ae…affabacked Yes	5c	2,177$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes	5c	2,170$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	5c	2,106$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	186	14.5%27 W · 159 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Yes	5c	2,089$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	3c	2,043$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.21	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1a…13b5backed Yes	4c	2,028$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…f58fbacked Yes	6c	2,011$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,957$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.43	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da5…be77backed Yes	3c	1,875$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88da…15c6backed Yes	5c	1,807$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa458…7141backed Yes	4c	1,796$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…8c23backed Yes	5c	1,788$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…cb45backed Yes	4c	1,526$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	10cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes	3c	1,444$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…6bf8backed Yes	3c	1,411$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes	4c	1,351$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…6301backed Yes	5c	1,320$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…7de0backed Yes	1c	1,319$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	4c	1,312$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Yes	4c	1,282$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b9…70a1backed Yes	4c	1,276$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x436e…9a0abacked Yes	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	1c	1,245$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb08…f30bbacked Yes	1c	1,198$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd72e…b1c2backed Yes	5c	1,195$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5600…e721backed Yes	4c	1,154$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…05d3backed Yes	5c	1,145$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes	5c	1,075$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes	4c	1,064$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes	5c	1,042$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c7…0e11backed Yes	5c	1,042$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…2cb7backed Yes	4c	1,040$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	4c	1,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576f…8abdbacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c81…3dffbacked Yes	4c	932.34$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd639…667fbacked Yes	4c	916.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	4c	860.11$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.83	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	4c	808.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	4c	783.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.29	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791a…cc8fbacked Yes	4c	755.91$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x083f…7486backed Yes	4c	749.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.19	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x940b…289cbacked Yes	3c	722.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Yes	4c	641.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc871…5b9dbacked Yes	4c	634.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa545…d561backed Yes	4c	632.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e4…f534backed Yes	5c	600$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8648…29ddbacked Yes	5c	530$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	2c	526.68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9d…f5e7backed Yes	5c	522.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	30cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8503…4c75backed Yes	5c	520.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34e…d4d5backed Yes	4c	512.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1662…9b28backed Yes	4c	511.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes	5c	510.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38da…68d4backed Yes	5c	510.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e8…7b51backed Yes	2c	506.95$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…3bf0backed Yes	4c	502.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event