Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa021d817ad33e0fa28e04051b4fea25b0a090e94bb1b2a38b377bce9778eb8e

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,273,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,199,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,273,739 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,038 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No	27c	554,790$147,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147,398.57	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked No	25c	398,986$99,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,013.46	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Yes	37c	209,691$77,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132,446.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	60c	202,830$120,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,844.14	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	68c	197,213$133,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133,921.06	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0178…bff1backed Yes	49c	195,432$95,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99,580.77	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes	70c	160,000$112,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,800	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	37c	123,751$45,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,068.81	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes	51c	121,462$61,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,602.88	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f83…d8a3backed No	61c	105,241$64,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,648.28	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87c6…89b7backed Yes	33c	93,500$30,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,574.18	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No	52c	92,000$47,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,559.93	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes	80c	86,500$68,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,544.99	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f4…f1d4backed Yes	56c	79,559$44,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,011.42	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes	48c	77,777$37,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,443.86	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	30c	75,462$23,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,011.68	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	50c	69,211$34,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,794.28	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes	35c	61,470$21,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,172.8	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	19c	59,711$11,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,469.12	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	61c	59,035$36,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,294.11	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No	63c	54,032$33,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,970.84	188	43.6%82 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	7c	52,526$3,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,879.69	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	20c	52,066$10,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,488.11	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…f871backed No	24c	50,594$12,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,126.84	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Yes	34c	50,000$17,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,999.89	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	63c	49,000$30,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,870	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45e…e704backed Yes	36c	48,205$17,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,695.31	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	51c	48,191$24,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,640.21	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	43c	47,662$20,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,136.33	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes	25c	46,860$11,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,057.41	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed No	9c	45,976$4,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,364.41	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes	28c	37,889$10,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,367.68	71	31%22 W · 49 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	56c	35,318$19,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,554.87	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	59c	35,172$20,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,272.49	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c61…f7e0backed No	1c	33,312$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa561…f676backed Yes	41c	33,156$13,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,720.21	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes	23c	32,827$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,326.52	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	29c	31,351$9,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,263.58	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	37c	30,304$11,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,032.72	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes	38c	30,000$11,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,549.99	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c0d…c0c5backed No	43c	29,830$12,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,827.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a0…5708backed Yes	55c	29,569$16,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,158.3	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed No	1c	29,228$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.5	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	69c	27,526$18,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,993.56	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	17c	26,970$4,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,496.93	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	42c	26,397$11,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,349.77	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes	56c	25,000$13,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,081.24	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	68c	24,916$16,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,857.61	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes	43c	24,734$10,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,020.11	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.8wins	+0.26per pick	42cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yes	39c	24,300$9,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,747.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	49c	24,202$11,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,334.52	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes	27c	23,925$6,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,449.81	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Yes	41c	22,822$9,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,558.93	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes	40c	22,306$8,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,488.53	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	51c	21,804$11,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,158.47	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Yes	21c	21,611$4,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,051.56	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes	56c	21,590$12,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,522.8	210	52.4%110 W · 100 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	57c	21,461$12,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,228.7	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No	7c	21,461$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,502.26	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes	37c	20,580$7,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,014.87	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	34cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0867…466cbacked No	56c	20,527$11,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,424.21	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca33…918cbacked Yes	57c	20,440$11,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,789.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	39c	20,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,199.93	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No	2c	19,931$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.61	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	43c	19,711$8,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,318.14	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	31c	19,497$6,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,495.38	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes	27c	19,400$5,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,201.92	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	15c	19,375$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,446.02	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	6c	18,655$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.32	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	44c	18,151$8,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,119.72	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	50c	17,562$8,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,780.59	484	38.2%185 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d80…7c7bbacked Yes	57c	17,544$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,543.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	42c	17,500$7,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,287.13	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	45c	17,268$7,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,505.87	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd5…cba7backed Yes	57c	17,008$9,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,313.48	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes	34c	16,875$5,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,218.63	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb3a…3155backed Yes	29c	15,977$4,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,334.33	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	41cpaid	+166.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	17c	15,822$2,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,159.59	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	67c	15,816$10,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,540.37	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes	16c	15,367$2,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,921.39	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes	46c	14,674$6,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,984.19	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	46c	14,668$6,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,815.59	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea09…8733backed Yes	40c	14,423$5,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,653.85	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	38c	14,387$5,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,983.67	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	59c	14,331$8,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,508.63	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes	32c	14,000$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,520	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…93eabacked Yes	26c	13,996$3,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,327.97	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked No	74c	13,882$10,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,310.44	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Yes	29c	13,675$3,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,722.75	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	45c	13,647$6,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,196.52	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	37c	13,469$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,468.62	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	15c	13,258$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,258.01	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes	27c	13,204$3,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,592.75	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a7…881bbacked Yes	33c	13,178$4,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,799.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	25c	13,100$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,800.41	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked No	7c	13,022$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…52d5backed Yes	36c	12,664$4,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,070.01	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…a981backed Yes	57c	12,635$7,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,410.88	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e9…0741backed No	49c	12,624$6,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,230.19	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	42c	12,593$5,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,342.85	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event