TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3cd…816c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,846
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT19829.3%58 W · 140 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.79
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.03
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$864
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+503.7%+$1,342.09
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$700.68
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,154.12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$55.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$169
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$4,534.98
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,652.8
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+115%+$1,259.58
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$471
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,812.33
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,109.69
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$274
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.72
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT18628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.88
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.14
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.53
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$133.56
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$469.34
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.97
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,561.86
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$1,131.94
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,630.84
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$7,482.62
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,866Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$2,054.82
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,693.19
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 185 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$304
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,965.41
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59,419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+534.3%+$317,447.45
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,546.8
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.05
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,473.64
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,801Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$579.2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,540.37
Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$328
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$403.61
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$480.89
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$367.63
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$39.16
Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$335.98
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.94
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$226.33
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$4,631.75
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.36
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,876.41
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Showing 25 of 185 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT15227.6%42 W · 110 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.1
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.67
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$159.8
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.91
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.04
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+420.4%+$948.52
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+957.1%+$157.42
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$536.67
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,448.99
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$308.81
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.53
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,782Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+354.9%+$9,874.97
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.73
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.9
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1519.9%15 W · 136 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Solana dip to $50 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Solana reach $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.91
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT12930.2%39 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$399.89
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$621.17
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$423.32
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,583.77
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,944.72
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,791.97
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$1,701.12
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.91
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.54
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.42
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$68.54
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,042.28
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.05
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.99
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440.65
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.23
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$92.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT9228.3%26 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$273.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$345.01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,569.64
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$18.58
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$308.25
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$503.99
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$184
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44%+$381.74
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.27
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$579.12
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.36
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.87
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.02
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.67
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.93
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$154.29
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.19
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$492.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,104.82
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$622.04
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.14
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$190.54
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$66.06
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.32
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.25
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.78
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240.39
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT8818.2%16 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,118.01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+246.9%+$15,533.23
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$167.02
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+106.5%+$60.75
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+50%+$20.62
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$370.1
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$424.98
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$304.66
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$549.67
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$353.84
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$165.14
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$523.6
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$644.09
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$818.67
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$786.86
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$998.72
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.76
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$267.74
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100.5%+$638.86
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+614.3%+$430
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.51
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT8234.1%28 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.53
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$198.15
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$33.2
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.41
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$230.71
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+502.3%+$78.61
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.51
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$83.28
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.96
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$141.92
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$783.44
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$158.88
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.38
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+322.8%+$206.91
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT7111.3%8 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$48.8
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 400–424 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+1,076.5%+$915
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.24
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,952Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$4,736.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+505%+$3,237.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+147.9%+$358
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$326
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.35
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$61
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$430
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.97
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.58
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+488.2%+$166
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-52%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$20,310.28
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.52
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$20.42
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3312.1%4 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-75.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.66
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.69
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.52
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$293.57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.91
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,891Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+191%+$5,520.2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.93
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$570.4
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.3
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$356.56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.69
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$82.14
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$498.99
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$79.41
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+262.4%+$1,016.37
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.98
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.81
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.29
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+215.2%+$1,611.65
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.99
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$289.31
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$33.14
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$52.96
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will 'A Working Man' gross between 14-17m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+631.4%+$157.55
Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+53.3%+$138.99
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.48
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.06
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3,085.06
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.66
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$259.99
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.35
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.3
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.47
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+577.5%+$1,278.7
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.63
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,792.85
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,377.71
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.83
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243.5
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.12
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.14
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$934
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.48
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$95.2
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.62
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$582.27
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.99
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.74
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.55
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.56
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.76
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,393.95
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$380.84
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,776.13
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,055.98
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+214%+$3,543.99
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+380.8%+$791.99
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+730.6%+$2,198.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+106.1%+$2,201.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+242.9%+$1,699.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+476.2%+$2,812.45
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$192.7
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.19
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$674.05
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$124.6
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$44.42
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+252.9%+$1,796.67
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$376.84
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$69
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$62
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,423.42
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.6
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$290.29
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,214.46
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$3,411.87
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.9
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$970.64
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+106.1%+$1,842.76
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+199.9%+$333.03
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+97.6%+$788.18
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.81
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$987.64
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.54
Will Coco Gauff win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+132.1%+$125.1
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 20 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+100.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$288
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.67
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.4
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$306.5
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$129.17
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+325.5%+$153
US-China trade deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.51
TikTok sale announced before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+48%+$32.45
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-86.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.57
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$683
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$75
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.26
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.01
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$498.38
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.48
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$505.74
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.05
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$35.47
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.28
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+201.2%+$133.6
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Ye divorce before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+380.2%+$140.06
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.43
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+340.5%+$77.29
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.04
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,329Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$4,004.12
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.18
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.97
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.56
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,080.08
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$1,206.34
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$212.51
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,695Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.5%+$4,146.67
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$7,951.89
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$188.02
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$46.8
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,018Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+114.7%+$3,463.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$87.83
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.1
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$74.6
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$646.24
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37.9
Will Notre Dame win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.8
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47.33
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$115.01
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+298.6%+$123.52
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+65.3%+$78.41
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.38
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.69
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$77.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.07
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$42.25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$78.61
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$91.66
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+179.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+167.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,069Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+151.9%+$4,662.49
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,914.74
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+536%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.