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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

This feed has stopped updating. Wallets last checked , more than its 360-second limit.

AISettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 14 wallets, $25,522 · No: 1 wallet, $14 14 of 15 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x3c59…1766#3 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,69460c+$1,798.5668
0xca12…ea03#11 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$13065c+$71.0564
0x819d…07f1#14 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$13,54165c+$7,309.3363
0x9352…2227#15 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4,17871c+$1,698.6463
0xf0ac…80c0#17 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2078c+$5.8963
0xd75a…fdec#18 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$14165c+$77.6562
0x6630…2f4e#20 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$6710c+$612.6962
0xa58f…cec8#38 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$34359c+$241.361
0x3373…3716No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$145c-$13.6261
0xfd5a…aa7a#43 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$14362c+$86.2260
0x14c3…df68#45 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,24079c+$325.1360
0x99f0…649f#54 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$15362c+$93.2660
0x521b…db60#62 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,74763c+$1,580.3460
0x4079…7126#138 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$10366c+$53.0957
0x0e6b…3a4c#596 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$227c+$292.5353

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $563 · No: 6 wallets, $10,825 6 of 11 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x3c59…1766#3 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9,23758c+$6,658.3268
0xa7d2…f954#5 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,26813c+$8,485.1167
0x8168…90e7#9 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12012c+$879.9965
0x9352…2227#15 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$27521c-$275.2363
0xd75a…fdec#18 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$14160c+$95.1362
0xa245…fac2#37 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2032c-$2061
0xa58f…cec8#38 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4337c-$43.4761
0xfd5a…aa7a#43 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4267c+$21.0460
0xd52b…5c72#49 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1641c+$23.660
0xc6fa…51e5#281 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1277c-$12.3255
0x0e6b…3a4c#596 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$21239c-$211.7553

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 2 wallets, $220 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 2 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf1ff…5b03#32 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$814c-$81.3661
0x521b…db60#62 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1390c-$139.0660

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $15 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 1 wallet backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf1ff…5b03#32 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$150c-$14.6861

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $13 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 1 wallet backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xca12…ea03#11 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$134c-$12.964

8 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.