TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c95…10f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.26
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+329.5%+$10,570.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,342.34
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,058.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.85
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.54
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,463.24
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$486.38
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,494.64
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$269.57
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.13
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$247.5
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$1,673.02
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.18
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$646.15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.88
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.43
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$742.86
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$481.53
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.14
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+433.6%+$30,472.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,566Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+172%+$13,014.87
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$1,280.99
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,451.61
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.96
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$361
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,441.18
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$2,123.71
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$3,166.67
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,841.85
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,526.98
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,008
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,900
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$973.98
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$1,277.92
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.21
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,600
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,747
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,519.65
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,840.12
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+309%+$2,920.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.21
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,021Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$527.68
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$359.16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$463.64
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$700
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$132.31
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$581.66
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$477
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.17
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$1,340.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$15.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$1,245.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5,760.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.