TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes26c40,924$10,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,730.2135550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c17,092$10,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,538.1499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c10,906$8,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.741,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes31c8,150$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.469726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No75c6,688$5,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.4223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c6,333$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.2253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No74c5,010$3,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c4,808$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c4,339$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.991,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes28c4,038$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.8833346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes28c3,637$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.361838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c3,576$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.9970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c3,527$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.5968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No72c3,469$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c3,315$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.3772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes24c3,187$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.428032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes27c3,116$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes26c2,961$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.8612654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c2,763$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.2597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No72c2,571$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7205743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c2,523$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.053,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes25c2,332$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.122920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No72c2,273$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes26c2,132$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes22c2,033$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.571,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No72c1,774$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.2820043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes31c1,587$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c1,562$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42155750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c1,562$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2168550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes46c1,522$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.8522269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No76c1,521$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes32c1,459$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5717137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes25c1,370$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No73c1,211$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9312951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No74c1,200$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3148661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cd0…78febacked No74c1,134$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes4c1,129$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.673324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c1,061$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes42c1,055$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.715440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No74c921.82$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.761450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes29c842.93$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9212751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Yes25c764.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes21c746.1$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3535247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…a1b2backed No73c746$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes28c710.88$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4731446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f0…aeb6backed No75c687.96$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c657.07$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes31c635.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No77c597.13$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.959540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c580.03$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.219268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No74c565.03$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.033066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes24c554$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.754242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No73c501.8$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.842568%17 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes4c499$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No75c491.58$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6117858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes10c471.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes22c408$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5522042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No75c393.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.053060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c390.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5339435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No73c381.4$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No74c370.31$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3210338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No72c368.41$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.654751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes25c356$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.94528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No75c335.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.273174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No53c334$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3210840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No71c332.59$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9119642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No80c326.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c306$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.41,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes19c296.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Yes5c276.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.423551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No72c274.56$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.212650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No65c223$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No75c204.86$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.212653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe741…84e1backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes25c198$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.052445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No72c192$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8113948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c163$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes25c155.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3917751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes26c144.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.673542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed No72c138.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.646558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No73c135.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.989345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No72c135.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.717147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed No68c135.08$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.