Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433bb490223d6fa3385c971713755869da3d904a7e2afaf2a40cd6aec24b4566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.91 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 10,584$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,581.32 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 5,010$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 4,191$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.91 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,030$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.43 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 2,002$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.67 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 25c | 1,613$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,066$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 78c | 749$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.22 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 68c | 738.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 61c | 617.48$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 597.13$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.05 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 59c | 501$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 457$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.46 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 20c | 405.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 381.4$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 311.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d1f6backed Yes | 23c | 293.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Yes | 55c | 282.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 27c | 273.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 54c | 247.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 232.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 13c | 161.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 40c | 145.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 22c | 122$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 38c | 121.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 47c | 105.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 77c | 102.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 50c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes | 16c | 93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 92.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 46c | 86.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 57.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 56.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 28c | 46.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 68c | 38.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 28c | 37.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 55c | 30.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 61c | 29.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 27.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 25.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…1e20backed Yes | 63c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 23.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 58c | 21.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 20.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 77c | 17.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 68c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.