TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$414,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$425,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes53c299,999$160,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,165.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c28,785$17,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,287.3798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c24,500$11,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,16026345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No46c22,561$10,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,175.836250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No47c19,910$9,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,643.346145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c18,079$8,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,883.411,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c16,904$7,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,135.2597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No45c15,615$7,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,521.389268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No50c15,000$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,449.888845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c11,875$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,392.3968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No49c11,631$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,931.8112654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.572040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No45c10,010$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,455.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c9,550$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.113,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No35c9,000$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,865.473240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No46c6,926$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.6120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No46c6,000$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2608032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No46c5,780$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.175056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c5,531$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No47c5,000$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+91%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No46c4,850$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c4,553$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.2872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c4,058$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No46c3,892$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.621471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No67c3,793$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.131,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No26c3,541$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.0913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Yes49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No45c2,776$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.962755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes48c2,719$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.926460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes54c2,600$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40410358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No46c2,520$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.436247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No46c2,458$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.381947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c2,445$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.3455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c2,445$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.3468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c2,445$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No45c2,167$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.671060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No47c1,965$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.451520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed No45c1,912$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+64.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c1,407$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.361,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No46c1,393$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.910042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No46c1,340$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+124.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No75c1,335$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3357974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No45c1,300$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7093268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed Yes50c1,134$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No26c1,081$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5253438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes54c974.22$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes50c909$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No46c888$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4817244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c873.01$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.7837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes54c818$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8935550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No46c809.83$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.59345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked No52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes55c765$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3933346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c743.47$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.061,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No46c740.89$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.082065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes49c738.78$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3624751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No39c694.05$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.031752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes27c678.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.274850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No46c672$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.244528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No54c661.62$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5819642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No46c650$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No47c648.73$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0735149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes65c620$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40317137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…c3ebbacked Yes50c618$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No52c597.14$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.759540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No47c596.28$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7912850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked No45c565.44$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.22560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No46c564$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.022352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No46c521.74$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.742748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No46c519.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.534949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes65c485.49$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No46c381.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9612247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes65c381.38$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.92065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes65c380.35$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes52c375.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes65c370.05$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.531776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No46c350.97$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.527659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Yes64c342.83$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.842147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Yes65c340.15$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.11735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c295$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes65c288.62$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes70c281.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4135247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No46c280$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No46c279.09$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.934231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Yes50c276.44$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes65c274.18$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.221662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No46c265.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.