TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b0c…a1aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$392
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$984
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.75
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,289.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+102%+$1,514.94
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$910
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$314.03
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,394
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$246.12
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.8
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$244.9
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$440
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.09
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Club Necaxa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$486.44
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.3
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed CF Cruz Azul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$353.85
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,068
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+160.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.