TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6501…1220backed Yes65c36,058$23,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,491650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No72c19,829$14,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Yes44c15,515$6,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,814.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes65c14,218$9,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,241.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No41c12,163$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,162.571747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c11,612$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,564.4246741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c11,545$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,330.821,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No36c11,256$4,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204.079858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c11,138$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.881,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes33c10,768$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No36c10,766$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,889.953633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes29c9,954$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.696232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed No57c9,120$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.161580%12 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+83.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No40c6,028$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.6132843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes41c5,814$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.6710046%46 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No26c5,769$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.234757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No50c5,541$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.5944647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes77c5,425$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.535429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c5,089$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.1363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c4,888$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.1559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes34c4,609$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.043342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No35c4,531$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.131662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No46c4,186$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.3572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes35c4,084$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.033732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes48c4,004$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.421136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+96.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c3,437$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2944033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes64c3,351$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.642737%10 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes64c2,706$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.717549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes43c2,685$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c2,583$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.7191537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No44c2,520$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.2216440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c2,493$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.181,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55e…f0d7backed Yes65c2,375$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No35c2,354$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.7331847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c2,188$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.3839743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No57c2,105$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+96.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes65c1,988$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.914654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes53c1,927$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.286134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes25c1,766$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes64c1,749$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes66c1,692$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.648155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes64c1,635$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.0513738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes49c1,603$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.358038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No35c1,466$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.6233844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c1,417$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.038040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No70c1,280$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.672839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No33c1,259$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.591968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes63c1,211$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.7160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes60c1,124$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.8817848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c1,075$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.536142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes73c1,043$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.462334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c1,000$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39526443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+84.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes48c981.56$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.623031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes44c942.52$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.713839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No40c905.03$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.023956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a1…85c2backed Yes56c899.52$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed No41c869.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes51c835.58$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.343522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+101.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c717.07$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1912348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No48c700.55$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.37364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked No46c683.76$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes69c674.11$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.753943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc73…d984backed Yes76c657.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes41c611.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3844332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No35c599.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes58c568$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4413936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes43c558.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes16c548.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.372630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+98.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Yes73c546.03$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes27c543.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.022766.7%18 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No54c542.64$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.723548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Yes64c508$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.150%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes60c504.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.092528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+131.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No36c470.96$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.926845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No35c465$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.251540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2f…1673backed No48c412.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No22c410$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.82948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes28c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes38c397.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes62c395.69$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes62c390$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.813649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No67c366.3$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No27c364.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.478742.5%37 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ee…4806backed Yes65c359.4$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes52c346.86$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.191741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.