TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd096…2f6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$491.72
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+972.8%+$1,459.14
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$96.57
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$176.21
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$326.05
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+741.8%+$296.72
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$68.42
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$32.33
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$200.36
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+684.6%+$684.61
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+270.9%+$270.85
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+343.2%+$654.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.55
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$486.72
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Villarreal CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$575
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+475.3%+$142.58
Will Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.33
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.15
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$168.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.46
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+274%+$356.26
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$73.29
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Paris Basketball vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.59
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+950%+$449.21
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.83
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$117.83
FC Bayern Munchen vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Olimpia Milano vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Partizan vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88%+$131.98
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+417.2%+$500.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.35
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$75.6
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138%+$275.92
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
MH Beitar Jerusalem leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.35
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$498.54
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$279.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$367.24
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$223.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.