South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e14dccfcec0396d912eee630b11fc12474dd30e024339d582d784b63ea454be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 18,196$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.3 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 3c | 3,812$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 23c | 1,986$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.82 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 1c | 1,272$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 1c | 1,051$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 977.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 6c | 800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 683.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 71c | 673.59$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 464.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 25c | 433.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 76c | 372.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 12c | 204.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 11c | 189.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 27c | 170$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 169.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 163.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 137$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 11c | 118.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 11c | 110.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 109.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…f96abacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 74c | 40.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 73c | 36.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 24.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.