TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes37c18,016$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,350.223644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No64c13,232$8,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,468.321,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No55c13,000$7,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,174.954768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No62c7,597$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.1442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No25c7,243$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes53c6,164$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.2175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed No15c3,333$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No35c3,112$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No34c3,087$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.9934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c2,342$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.051,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes37c2,289$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.7915045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No63c1,925$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.067244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes38c1,898$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No38c1,803$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3826835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes38c1,746$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.871,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes64c1,643$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.722,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes57c1,631$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.8723733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes68c1,458$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.163542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes36c1,443$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.256553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes57c1,427$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.446339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes46c1,365$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.1312340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No19c1,287$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked No62c1,277$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes37c1,189$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes67c1,156$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c1,150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.935,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f6…ba20backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes38c1,000$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes41c975.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.67723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No3c952.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3116641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No14c930.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.226232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c901.61$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.63,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No8c746.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1215552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes64c526.67$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.111354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes65c457.76$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.813,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes58c445.77$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.221376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No5c442.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No33c362.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.781,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No28c353.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1723044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No25c328.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9350656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No25c312.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked No19c284.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.988833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No22c282.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No8c274.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.234770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2719543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No22c264.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No39c256.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9911817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes38c250$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd436…f521backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No19c249.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8611…2c36backed Yes40c223.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No18c185.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2711143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes39c183.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.847248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No24c170.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes39c164.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No40c160.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No39c145.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked No20c145.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295437%20 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.25129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes77c126.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.962867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b30…c687backed No34c124$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.62520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes61c98.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.678569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No18c97.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.629047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No29c97.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No15c96.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No22c82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3511350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa522…2c26backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes43c66.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No62c64.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No33c64.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1124535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6949136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Yes39c61.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.684362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Yes38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.864858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes68c50.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.063237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes37c45.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.952240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes39c44.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.616751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed No64c39.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.512642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x544f…3ca1backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.713056.7%17 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd54…b7aebacked No59c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.882040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1365…dc99backed Yes69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes58c21.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8346449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes71c20.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9641262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No55c18.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.433452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.