TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hapoel Tel Avivof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Real Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27b0…fc67backed Real Madrid44c20,200$8,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,834.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv53c8,557$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.3543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Real Madrid50c8,090$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv50c4,162$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Real Madrid51c3,494$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.76338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Real Madrid53c3,239$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.924165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv54c3,006$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.9831651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv48c2,607$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c2,107$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.666744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv31c1,491$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.042060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Hapoel Tel Aviv68c1,474$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv75c1,255$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4736939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.493154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hapoel Tel Aviv60c1,170$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.1437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Hapoel Tel Aviv61c1,157$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.235152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv45c1,127$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.585151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Real Madrid58c1,050$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…9bd9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed Hapoel Tel Aviv45c1,004$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hapoel Tel Aviv50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Real Madrid50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Real Madrid74c999.99$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Real Madrid19c985.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.893834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Hapoel Tel Aviv40c972.49$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Real Madrid32c899.98$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Real Madrid17c860.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Real Madrid51c800.66$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.837042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Hapoel Tel Aviv48c792.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.665752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Real Madrid53c782.25$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Hapoel Tel Aviv49c753$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.785230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv49c712.18$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.111428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Real Madrid43c697.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Hapoel Tel Aviv29c696.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.981435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Real Madrid53c607.53$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.231225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Real Madrid54c599.99$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffa…b54fbacked Real Madrid79c539.2$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv49c510.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.197138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Hapoel Tel Aviv45c500.64$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Real Madrid53c500$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2668936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv50c488$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24414037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Real Madrid51c441.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Real Madrid52c430.77$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Hapoel Tel Aviv46c415.69$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5413147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Real Madrid55c406.65$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv49c406.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.323050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Hapoel Tel Aviv60c400$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.339756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv50c399.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.985844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv73c399.87$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.256747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Real Madrid51c394.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c394.01$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3612454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv61c381.28$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9535234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Real Madrid51c361.62$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1835271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Real Madrid57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Real Madrid44c338.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv51c322.5$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c316$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1581747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv31c309.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv62c299$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.84452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Real Madrid39c289.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.468247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Real Madrid73c273.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Real Madrid55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv70c266$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.211455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…eb0ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c258.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Real Madrid28c253.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Hapoel Tel Aviv48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Real Madrid40c234.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hapoel Tel Aviv58c227.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8713545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Real Madrid67c222.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv46c217.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick39cpaid+149.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Hapoel Tel Aviv49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.14245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.161947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…8902backed Real Madrid35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Real Madrid51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Hapoel Tel Aviv48c194.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…a130backed Real Madrid52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv52c190.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6110663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb23…e454backed Hapoel Tel Aviv41c188.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Hapoel Tel Aviv54c186.93$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0321535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x509b…aec4backed Real Madrid57c182.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e11…9f74backed Real Madrid57c175.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv48c174.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8131…cbd6backed Real Madrid50c160.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0db…f902backed Real Madrid20c159.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Real Madrid18c158.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv72c153.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Real Madrid21c145.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Real Madrid69c144.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv49c142.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Real Madrid55c142.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Hapoel Tel Aviv46c138.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.89560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv26c138.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.463641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv44c138.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.381353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Real Madrid58c132.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.45642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Real Madrid49c132.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv49c132$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Real Madrid72c129.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.591546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.