TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8d0…f87e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
453
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT39940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 399 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$121.67
LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$173.57
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+208.5%+$73.54
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$31.38
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.16
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked Tung Tung Bogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,799Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+213.8%+$10,263.01
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tung Tung Bogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$188.24
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$57.89
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$89.72
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 399 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$153.03
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$78.76
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.59
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.34
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$93.22
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.22
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.79
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$256.43
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162.24
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.