TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,586,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,931,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,586,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe934…640bbacked Clippers54c501,130$271,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,997.233860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x992a…5e34backed Spurs46c394,468$180,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213,609.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers52c307,171$159,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159,353.8572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs80c172,236$137,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,473.6766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Clippers54c143,709$77,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,742.2211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Clippers40c138,314$55,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,885.7949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Spurs45c136,000$61,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,799.968750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Spurs46c130,000$60,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,799.745156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers53c127,587$67,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,456.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers40c120,240$48,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,185.411,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs45c100,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,999.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs48c95,952$46,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,430.7942348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Clippers6c94,360$5,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,661.62250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…f80abacked Clippers41c83,559$33,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,976.244656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Clippers42c77,225$32,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,579.5211547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs53c74,584$39,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,238.881,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Clippers40c71,551$28,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,429.2220744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs56c58,245$32,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,580.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs66c56,803$37,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,293.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Spurs44c55,105$24,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,859.076744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs60c55,000$33,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,75020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Spurs80c52,614$42,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,534.435064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs43c52,500$22,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,924.7529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Clippers40c50,961$20,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,384.3313842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Clippers31c44,974$14,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,012.822159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Clippers29c43,116$12,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,327.335940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spurs47c42,357$20,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,308.239336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Clippers55c41,889$23,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,038.691442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Clippers50c41,670$20,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,835.1761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs73c35,015$25,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,400.821,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs46c31,941$14,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,293.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers9c31,650$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.141,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers45c31,027$13,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,952.2336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers4c30,443$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.661,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs61c28,751$17,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,304.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs58c28,263$16,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,909.7834456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Clippers25c28,100$6,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,934.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs57c25,167$14,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,797.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers9c24,999$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers5c24,721$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.51,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs44c22,475$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,474.671,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Spurs78c22,172$17,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.7416848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Clippers38c21,990$8,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,364.3939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Clippers17c20,607$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.3611335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Clippers25c20,228$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.7618931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Clippers55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.8410236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs61c19,972$12,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,789.0313642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs46c19,352$8,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.0820758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8093…a010backed Spurs74c18,414$13,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,836.465100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Spurs53c18,278$9,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,550.713669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Spurs44c17,695$7,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,909.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs43c17,643$7,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,032.7896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Spurs75c17,449$13,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.344257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Spurs49c16,117$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,233.568728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers55c15,373$8,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,455.3748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa64…bf96backed Spurs45c15,253$6,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,388.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Spurs55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers44c14,340$6,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…76babacked Clippers56c13,679$7,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,660.221353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Spurs46c13,263$6,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,162.0816863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Clippers42c13,151$5,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,523.3619957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Spurs61c12,808$7,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.077243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Spurs69c12,500$8,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.111,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs47c12,389$5,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,514.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x445f…07d4backed Spurs62c12,200$7,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,657.982050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs66c12,186$8,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.691,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked Clippers55c11,935$6,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,564.334553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Clippers22c11,806$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.728225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Clippers12c11,259$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.884030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs46c11,208$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.3220355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs46c11,103$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.9610352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Spurs48c10,901$5,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,668.457447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs46c10,532$4,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,689.4237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7502…c66abacked Clippers1c10,503$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Clippers41c10,444$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.9232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs49c10,223$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.0318151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Spurs56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4006144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Spurs45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs51c10,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8806939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Spurs49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Spurs44c9,736$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,452.363450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Clippers55c9,730$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Spurs72c9,327$6,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.83324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Spurs49c9,319$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,752.679440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Clippers37c9,231$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.4935547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Clippers53c9,168$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8594845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Clippers21c9,141$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs76c9,038$6,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.063,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs45c9,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs62c9,000$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers22c8,834$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.7582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Clippers22c8,757$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.8976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Spurs73c8,586$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.1650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Clippers57c8,546$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,87116261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers38c8,521$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.881,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Clippers5c8,094$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs61c8,005$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.921,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.