TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under48c26,403$12,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,729.5219754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over50c25,535$12,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,681.6443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c17,607$8,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,857.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c7,863$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.756045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c6,676$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,470.881,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under46c4,516$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.823554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over54c4,112$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.4416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c3,799$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,499$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,632$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c2,554$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.861,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c2,405$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over52c1,961$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.263745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under47c1,855$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.192,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c1,802$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.942,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,793$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.4658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over29c1,673$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.051,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c1,412$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under47c1,410$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.3417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61213857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c1,110$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c921.07$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c842.34$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c771.52$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under46c764.5$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c713.03$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.521,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c706.6$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c700$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c698.94$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.161,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over51c635.22$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9613835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under50c602.24$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2416849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31244252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c570.88$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c513.79$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9117250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c505.17$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.041,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.243046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over52c366.48$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5714243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under47c299.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over52c297.58$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over52c290.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over52c287.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over14c286.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7739552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c271.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over12c269.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.291,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c240.96$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under49c236.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6313148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under49c236.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6313352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over51c235$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8520537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over52c227.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over49c211.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5fb…9df5backed Under49c202.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.331540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c199.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8816245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.068654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.126550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c179.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under49c178.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8114445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c177.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c162.16$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.232,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over23c154.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2927745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c153.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c151.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over52c151.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7824044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c148$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b0…d341backed Over52c145.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.751450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over54c139.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8638453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c138.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Under48c135.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.536445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4836749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under50c122.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1118744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Over52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over53c111.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2312645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over49c111$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3934247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over52c111$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5917459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under49c98.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3536153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…d51ebacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.591,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c90.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under47c87.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3416242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over52c84.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.76254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Over52c78.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.891947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Over52c78.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.886654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Under49c78.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.066553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under49c72.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over54c59.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.099646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over53c58.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over51c58.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.795034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over51c55.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.497751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.