TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs68c11,439$7,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.491,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers58c11,292$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,496.636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Spurs76c10,734$8,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.210252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs46c10,616$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,762.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs50c10,194$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,093.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Spurs49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs43c9,869$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,616.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers50c8,342$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1711,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Clippers52c6,075$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.9216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers53c5,962$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers51c5,661$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.071,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Spurs46c5,545$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.4927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Spurs77c4,611$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.497349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Spurs50c4,384$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.220843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Clippers51c4,240$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.1914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs36c4,019$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.346939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Clippers54c3,695$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.366543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Clippers51c3,397$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.5241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Spurs48c3,347$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.5512850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Clippers52c3,000$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.9357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Clippers67c2,936$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.1216261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers52c2,652$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.42,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Clippers53c2,491$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.2322752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs50c2,425$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.515252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers20c1,968$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Spurs47c1,936$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2935942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Clippers1c1,850$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.813946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Spurs46c1,737$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.3716635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers58c1,580$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs34c1,498$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9891,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Clippers21c1,428$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.981,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers20c1,403$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6728838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers23c1,384$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Clippers19c1,384$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.18332.5%27 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Clippers54c1,373$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.5590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers53c1,309$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.121,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa7…cac8backed Clippers52c1,264$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-76%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs47c1,110$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.8344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Spurs47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9913148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Clippers53c1,084$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.3210251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs41c1,055$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.841,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Spurs62c1,033$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.723554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers53c985$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.051,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Spurs76c938$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1229652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers54c876.05$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.261,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Spurs42c872.56$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0820352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spurs47c871.38$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.8344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Spurs47c849.98$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.491,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Clippers53c805.8$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0214852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Spurs45c785.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers53c779.63$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Spurs38c772.08$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs47c754.23$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.7414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs35c751.56$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Clippers54c741.99$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Clippers69c711.16$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.760444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Clippers53c650.65$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2419550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Clippers30c639.76$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.248250%41 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Spurs62c630.45$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5752760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8665339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Clippers40c602.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414926.5%13 W · 36 L-11.3wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs48c601.62$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs48c591.37$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5141742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Spurs48c569.65$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2216845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Clippers50c553.85$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Clippers34c526.19$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.347243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers53c517.62$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Spurs47c514.11$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4810943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Spurs71c508.84$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Clippers53c505.31$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Clippers53c500.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Spurs31c500.01$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers53c487.73$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Clippers54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5526755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Spurs51c465.81$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8710245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs50c455.9$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs38c454.75$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0925150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers66c452.74$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.812,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs35c450.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5544337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Spurs64c442.86$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7414845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Clippers51c427.06$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.842845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs38c426.31$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.31,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Clippers53c409.9$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs47c405.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Clippers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Clippers25c382.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.513346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be5…603dbacked Clippers55c354.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Spurs48c336.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Spurs48c336.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8113148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Spurs47c325.32$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4213352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Clippers55c300.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.413141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers17c300.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Spurs33c299.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1513835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs45c291.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.584,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Clippers52c288.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9910854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Clippers34c288.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9631345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.