NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024d8260412efbeab941671bc0d2258b388a7bdf65661d04e1e652776abf73af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 5,528$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 49c | 5,361$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.05 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,043$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.98 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 48c | 826.77$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 714.44$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 671.55$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 601.29$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 557.59$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.45 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…048abacked Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 17c | 479.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 388.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 52c | 282.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 12c | 269.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 22c | 254.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 55c | 166.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 99.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Under | 80c | 98.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 55c | 92.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 66c | 80.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…bff5backed Under | 52c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…2512backed Over | 47c | 53.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 29c | 40.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…4326backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Over | 46c | 32.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 78c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Under | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…489dbacked Under | 52c | 19.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.