TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3302…489d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-85.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+221.8%+$39.4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$17.93
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$88.33
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.4
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$10.66
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.21
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$6.23
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$9.24
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.57
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.31
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$12.72
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$115.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$31.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$13.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$6.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or higher on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.