Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781a06aa5779f97724b75ed8128aaf72c4a8955c893a6fefdc0efd7cb001c513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,111,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,943,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,111,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,880 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88e3…384ebacked Yes | 2c | 296,612$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 15c | 113,690$17,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,334.09 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 34c | 95,815$32,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,620.37 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 14c | 57,331$7,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,339.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 47c | 41,343$19,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,971.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 25c | 32,523$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 17c | 29,866$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.32 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 74c | 27,624$20,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,434.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 24,851$8,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.29 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 21c | 23,457$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.34 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 10c | 22,541$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,239.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…215dbacked Yes | 65c | 20,144$13,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,131.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…7047backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 27c | 19,488$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.49 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 62c | 16,941$10,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,459.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 22c | 16,316$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.89 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 37c | 16,104$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.48 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed No | 46c | 16,053$7,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,638.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 39c | 15,408$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.63 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 21c | 15,341$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.13 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 39c | 15,085$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 48c | 15,004$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,222.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 15,000$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.49 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 41c | 14,770$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 50c | 14,259$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,153.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 73c | 14,106$10,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.62 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 29c | 13,907$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 23c | 13,696$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 60c | 11,864$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes | 43c | 11,784$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 67c | 11,622$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 45c | 11,572$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked No | 50c | 11,137$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 7c | 11,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed Yes | 41c | 11,000$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 31c | 10,707$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 19c | 10,349$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 45c | 10,167$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.21 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 44c | 10,056$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.06 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 55c | 9,983$5,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 8c | 9,700$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed Yes | 34c | 9,683$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 18c | 8,738$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 40c | 8,608$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 62c | 7,983$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 57c | 7,939$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.47 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 55c | 7,824$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.63 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 8c | 7,817$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 51c | 7,628$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.2 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 17c | 7,219$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 29c | 7,109$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 43c | 7,086$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed Yes | 75c | 7,000$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 77c | 7,000$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…bb2cbacked Yes | 79c | 6,937$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 48c | 6,891$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 30c | 6,740$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.81 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 49c | 6,623$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 33c | 6,545$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 49c | 6,527$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 24c | 6,294$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.82 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Yes | 53c | 6,294$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…0aa3backed Yes | 28c | 6,081$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…4a47backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Yes | 40c | 5,930$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…a48fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,555$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 26c | 5,379$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 37c | 5,351$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.06 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…25f8backed Yes | 69c | 5,350$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked No | 47c | 5,224$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…5fd5backed Yes | 53c | 5,205$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…3319backed Yes | 47c | 5,184$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 32c | 5,056$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.9 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 4c | 5,042$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 71c | 5,033$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 35c | 4,713$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 64c | 4,692$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.96 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 73c | 4,634$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 77c | 4,572$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 72c | 4,549$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 57c | 4,518$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 42c | 4,430$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.68 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 27c | 4,313$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.63 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…a393backed No | 78c | 4,162$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 24c | 4,139$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.9 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 71c | 4,030$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,842$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.93 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,828$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.88 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 44c | 3,785$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.64 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 31c | 3,774$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.87 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 61c | 3,730$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 25c | 3,708$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.81 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…5437backed Yes | 28c | 3,697$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 78c | 3,654$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.77 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 40c | 3,652$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.36 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…57d2backed Yes | 28c | 3,616$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 27c | 3,615$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 23c | 3,612$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?this page
- Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes won
- Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.