Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99ef516a29277c886f65d979143c0cad5eb80b937bf6039b9832eff7389a743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,861,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,536,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,861,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 6c | 99,776$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 8c | 56,219$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.09 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…8ad2backed Yes | 8c | 50,923$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 43,283$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.16 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 11c | 41,927$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 5c | 39,068$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.44 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 7c | 38,892$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…3c7abacked Yes | 0c | 32,520$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd603…aef9backed Yes | 2c | 32,265$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…08bebacked Yes | 0c | 31,550$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…20f8backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…d0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 29,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,542$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 2c | 19,149$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 16,267$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.84 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9e…d295backed Yes | 0c | 15,818$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…529fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,625$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 4c | 13,927$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 3c | 13,830$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,479$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 12,795$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.53 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 11,814$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.95 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…5ebdbacked Yes | 0c | 11,560$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 0c | 10,602$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…4ef9backed Yes | 2c | 9,185$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 1c | 9,024$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cfc9backed Yes | 1c | 8,490$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,387$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 4c | 8,330$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.25 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,134$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 11c | 7,845$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,100$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes | 0c | 6,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 2c | 5,558$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…c9d9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 4,941$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 5c | 4,742$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 8c | 4,671$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 4,539$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 4,367$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 4,220$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 12c | 3,806$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 5c | 3,802$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 6c | 3,577$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…4b62backed Yes | 17c | 3,341$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 3,125$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.01 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,100$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 73c | 3,077$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.31 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…9e2cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,537$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 2,409$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…fa01backed Yes | 7c | 2,307$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 2,305$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,246$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,212$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes | 5c | 2,198$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…ed0fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,122$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 5c | 2,050$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,013$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 1,963$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…d090backed Yes | 1c | 1,872$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,743$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7134…8febbacked Yes | 13c | 1,717$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 4c | 1,679$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,647$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 8c | 1,623$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 2c | 1,622$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,455$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,415$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 1,393$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed Yes | 6c | 1,363$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 6c | 1,341$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 8c | 1,314$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,306$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 13c | 1,244$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 4c | 1,197$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…2736backed Yes | 1c | 1,176$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…7e8cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,144$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed Yes | 1c | 1,129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…23d4backed Yes | 7c | 1,117$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 5c | 1,074$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,046$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,036$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 1,036$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,002$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…9063backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 15c | 999.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…0de6backed Yes | 5c | 980.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…c9e5backed Yes | 15c | 976.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 3c | 958.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…dbf9backed Yes | 1c | 929.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 5c | 887.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…0125backed Yes | 17c | 881.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 5c | 839.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 80c | 830$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?this page
- Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.