TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80c6…e3c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$60.36
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$252.63
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+227.9%+$273.52
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+46%+$678.52
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+351.7%+$1,055.14
Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$423.25
Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+306.6%+$306.62
Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+188.4%+$376.85
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$269.7
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+131.2%+$226.9
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$209.09
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$600
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$800
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49%+$98.05
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.74
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$318.75
Will the U.S. national debt hit $38 trillion in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will $Trump FDV be $15-20b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will $Trump FDV be $10-15b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$166
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+287.8%+$622.09
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+261%+$782.86
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$750
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-82.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$86.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Firefly Lander Successfully Land on the Moon on Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+31%+$93.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.