World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208d4461ee3e0026342db2f71c9b801f55148bed81ddd3edf29feb8c7fb71573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 35,306$20,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,161.33 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…c818backed Yes | 59c | 24,872$14,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,197.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…5acebacked No | 41c | 24,872$10,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,197.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 22,700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Yes | 20c | 17,237$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,741.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 24c | 13,421$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,159.84 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 57c | 10,641$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.48 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 40c | 10,320$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.69 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 46c | 8,760$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.7 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked No | 63c | 7,147$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 60c | 5,129$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.35 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed Yes | 53c | 5,046$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 57c | 4,750$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 8c | 4,471$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.81 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 60c | 3,922$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 3,173$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.95 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 34c | 3,135$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 2,900$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 60c | 2,815$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.57 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 63c | 2,812$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.76 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked No | 38c | 2,514$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.46 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 43c | 2,049$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.08 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…22a8backed No | 47c | 1,989$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 62c | 1,862$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.2 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Yes | 44c | 1,850$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 62c | 1,751$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.22 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Yes | 57c | 1,699$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 63c | 1,596$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…4f2fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,365$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,276$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 1,100$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked No | 39c | 1,048$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,036$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.91 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 57c | 1,031$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.63 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes | 59c | 1,023$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 43c | 1,007$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.22 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked Yes | 61c | 996.72$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…2145backed Yes | 54c | 983.61$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a2b1backed Yes | 58c | 981.69$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 44c | 977.69$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.46 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 23c | 951.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.61 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes | 62c | 922.22$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…4da8backed Yes | 56c | 868.24$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 56c | 866.7$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.64 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 44c | 858.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 49c | 747.82$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 39c | 694.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed Yes | 21c | 678.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.28 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 45c | 660.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.39 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…6a54backed Yes | 56c | 650$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3b…0718backed Yes | 71c | 616.08$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 58c | 589.86$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 22c | 557.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.33 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…c209backed Yes | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 50c | 520.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 25c | 500.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 59c | 495.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 55c | 494.34$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 61c | 491.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 52c | 477.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 47c | 471.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 43c | 446.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd35…2bb6backed Yes | 57c | 440.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…d8d3backed Yes | 25c | 436.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 58c | 427.54$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…0ae6backed Yes | 54c | 425$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 42c | 419.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 53c | 409.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 17c | 409$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…c814backed No | 46c | 385$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 72c | 383.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…f16cbacked Yes | 57c | 348.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 60c | 336.54$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 61c | 331.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…a641backed Yes | 68c | 330.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 61c | 330.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…2da7backed No | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…2d99backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…e83ebacked Yes | 56c | 313.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…d864backed Yes | 80c | 311.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 306.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbc…03fabacked Yes | 65c | 298$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…0f1dbacked Yes | 45c | 276$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…54a8backed Yes | 54c | 261.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 59c | 237.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 54c | 230.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…403cbacked No | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…6bbbbacked No | 41c | 222.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 58c | 218.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…8d49backed No | 49c | 202.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the People's Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.