TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d05…aee5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$288.88
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.66
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$291
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$341.87
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$544.04
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$42.96
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.12
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+236.7%+$349.7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$634.49
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$104.99
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.8%+$122.34
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81%+$58.73
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$686.44
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+189.7%+$199.73
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$103.68
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$244.95
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$313.78
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$106.46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$116.97
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+123.7%+$159.73
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$245
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$139.04
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$724.23
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$669.5
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.1%+$1,022.68
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+225.4%+$2,631.79
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.96
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.55
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$58.51
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.04
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+296.9%+$82.98
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$384.55
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.12
Fed rate cut by October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.4
Fed rate cut by September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$199
Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$19.16
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33.78
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$202.33
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+88.4%+$252.59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.15
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$605.94
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+209.2%+$461.7
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+113.1%+$314.71
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$63.49
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$72.6
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+127.3%+$33.6
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+177.8%+$70.39
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 49.0% and 49.4% on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+25.4%+$71.88
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+95.8%+$382.77
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$107.21
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+334.8%+$159.35
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+38.2%+$34.07
Will Trump nominate Tulsi Gabbard for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+85.2%+$96.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$74.82
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.83
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$945.78
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$956.64
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$248.08
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$341.72
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$609.28
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,207.49
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.57
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$63.34
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$694.94
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.08
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.27
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$234
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$455.81
Nationals vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.8
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$197.24
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$619.63
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.06
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$94.82
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$294.5
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$78.2
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.02
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.66
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 6% and 9.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$336
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$154.76
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$73.42
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+92.2%+$276.73
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$19.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+529.3%+$1,261.41
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$228
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$500.05
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.33
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$159
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$114.22
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$130.1
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.8
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+235.9%+$165.74
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.26
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+44.1%+$70.4
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$3.78
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.35
Will the US add between 100-150k jobs in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+346.4%+$38.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$130.49
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.97
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.4
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$77.5
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$196.8
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.04
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+89.6%+$94.9
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Illinois vs. Indianabacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$48.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+150.9%+$397.4
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$89.72
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$27.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.