MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5651a1dc31809cbbe03a2b9b1bf70ad3ce57ff2a1e089efc1740c3d6828d3476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Red Sox, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $643,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Red Sox | 39c | 435,842$169,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,823.89 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 61c | 169,858$103,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,244.71 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 61c | 81,111$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,411.07 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 61c | 52,000$31,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,280 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 63c | 47,207$29,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,522.33 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 61c | 14,500$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Sox | 37c | 12,406$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 61c | 10,500$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 61c | 9,946$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 62c | 9,325$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.68 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 61c | 7,794$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 64c | 5,555$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.79 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 65c | 5,214$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.94 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 61c | 4,300$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 64c | 3,665$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.28 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 71c | 3,144$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 69c | 3,081$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 30c | 2,837$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.58 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 62c | 2,516$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7e7fbacked Red Sox | 35c | 2,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 36c | 2,393$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 35c | 2,383$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.05 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Phillies | 65c | 2,311$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.85 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 37c | 2,055$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…f09dbacked Red Sox | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 22c | 1,820$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Red Sox | 6c | 1,792$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,721$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.19 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox | 36c | 1,500$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.65 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 78c | 1,374$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.6 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…52d4backed Phillies | 65c | 1,215$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…867dbacked Phillies | 65c | 1,185$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b635backed Phillies | 65c | 1,046$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Red Sox | 22c | 1,030$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Red Sox | 25c | 1,025$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Red Sox | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Red Sox | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Phillies | 65c | 954$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…51a7backed Red Sox | 37c | 900$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 35c | 899.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 34c | 898.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.44 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Red Sox | 38c | 728.69$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Phillies | 65c | 651$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Red Sox | 35c | 609$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Red Sox | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Red Sox | 35c | 551$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Red Sox | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Phillies | 65c | 449$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Red Sox | 5c | 432.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 10c | 390$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 36c | 359.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Red Sox | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 37c | 310.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 65c | 297$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox | 35c | 296$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 36c | 291.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 35c | 285.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 7c | 282$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Red Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Red Sox | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 64c | 261.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Phillies | 63c | 256.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 63c | 249.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox | 36c | 227.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 35c | 219.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Red Sox | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Phillies | 61c | 206.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Phillies | 66c | 205.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Phillies | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Phillies | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 17c | 194.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Red Sox | 37c | 188.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 72c | 166.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Phillies | 65c | 164.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Phillies | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Red Sox | 36c | 144.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Phillies | 63c | 143.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Phillies | 66c | 139.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Phillies | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…d04ebacked Red Sox | 37c | 128.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b3…e881backed Red Sox | 36c | 116.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Red Sox | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Red Sox | 36c | 103$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.