TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc09…9d12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT8253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$96.8
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.2
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.74
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Giants vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.5
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$132
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.16
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.8
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.9
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.2
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Knicks hire Taylor Jenkins as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.22
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.25
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$48.8
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$52
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$52
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+163.2%+$43.4
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.9
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.85
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$26.4
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41.14
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$38.7
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.9
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.53
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+67.7%+$32.44
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$36.93
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$26.4
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,349
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.32
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.51
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$994.77
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$976.1
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$745.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+116.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+206.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$35.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$6.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.87
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Turkeybacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$34.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.