AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ae26e70d2ace6369d22d3ea51610a780de3ad0f251fc9f3f1b640520ec69ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $906,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $906,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1405…de5ebacked Yes | 33c | 53,267$17,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,688.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…dc3abacked No | 67c | 53,267$35,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,688.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b99ebacked Yes | 36c | 34,471$12,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,061.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…918ebacked No | 64c | 33,983$21,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,749.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…57d4backed Yes | 53c | 31,902$16,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,993.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…5487backed No | 47c | 31,902$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…a78ebacked No | 48c | 27,823$13,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,355.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…0404backed Yes | 52c | 27,823$14,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,355.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…2a18backed Yes | 52c | 26,214$13,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,582.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3253…03f9backed No | 48c | 26,214$12,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,582.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…b3b4backed No | 67c | 22,850$15,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,309.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…67dfbacked Yes | 33c | 22,850$7,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,309.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 7,340$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.58 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…ba88backed No | 7c | 7,100$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 62c | 6,949$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 68c | 6,531$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 67c | 6,232$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 26c | 6,143$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 59c | 5,695$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…f0bfbacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 4,973$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,602$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 47c | 4,572$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.51 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 75c | 4,301$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.24 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 24c | 3,942$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.87 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 13c | 3,909$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 3,756$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…80a7backed Yes | 73c | 3,695$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 37c | 3,450$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.92 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 73c | 3,254$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.26 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 32c | 2,981$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed No | 34c | 2,798$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed Yes | 48c | 2,790$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 35c | 2,614$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.99 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,556$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.8 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…951bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 2,488$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,419$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 26c | 2,376$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 24c | 2,311$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.72 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 16c | 2,245$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked Yes | 59c | 2,180$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 46c | 2,178$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.36 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2e8cbacked No | 13c | 2,067$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…6c44backed No | 67c | 2,060$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 24c | 2,038$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,988$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.53 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 5c | 1,952$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…e4a8backed No | 38c | 1,932$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 74c | 1,907$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,875$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,870$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.24 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Yes | 19c | 1,796$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 16c | 1,770$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 29c | 1,701$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,662$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.54 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 15c | 1,550$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…2cfbbacked No | 3c | 1,496$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…54d0backed No | 4c | 1,426$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 80c | 1,420$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb47…9f1dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,345$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 61c | 1,325$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 34c | 1,311$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.9 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…86e9backed Yes | 49c | 1,298$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 31c | 1,291$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.54 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 18c | 1,170$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 1,124$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,120$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed Yes | 73c | 1,112$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 65c | 1,095$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 18c | 1,075$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…8393backed No | 2c | 1,068$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…42e9backed Yes | 72c | 1,036$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…c403backed No | 17c | 1,003$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…a81cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +351%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…a2edbacked Yes | 61c | 993.01$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…06c0backed Yes | 20c | 974.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 32c | 961.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…9114backed Yes | 35c | 944.56$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…697bbacked Yes | 53c | 940.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 58c | 940.29$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…9158backed Yes | 57c | 930.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…a010backed No | 77c | 930.39$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked No | 24c | 926.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 62c | 911.55$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Yes | 38c | 902.72$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0f…cd52backed Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…c821backed No | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…1e7cbacked No | 45c | 890.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 35c | 868.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked No | 57c | 858.16$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430c…0c89backed No | 37c | 810.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…356cbacked Yes | 74c | 804.19$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked No | 17c | 780$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 7c | 761.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 53c | 755.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…295bbacked Yes | 64c | 708.69$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.