TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a6d…60c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5633.9%19 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$71.99
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$398.65
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.29
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$67.18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.22
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$68.01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$585.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$705.67
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$363.58
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+134.5%+$359.77
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.54
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$47.52
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.48
Iran nuclear test in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Iran Nuke in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$182.01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.76
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$96.45
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.3
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.21
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4940.8%20 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,477.26
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.59
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.77
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$435.36
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$401
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+131.6%+$1,825.85
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$297.16
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.25
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.29
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+135.8%+$1,144.9
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$331.76
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.12
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$49.56
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$121.16
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$345.05
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$496.71
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+159.6%+$129.31
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$257.28
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+89.6%+$126.27
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$230
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,028.58
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$600.08
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$86
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$235.39
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$345.11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.32
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$14.15
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$115.5
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.47
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$76.82
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.75
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$90.5
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$105.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$177.13
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.7
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$26.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+197.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$27.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.