Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2cc475142c25f842fdc17ed3f617632d7e639f61dcb94888d22b2e3636ecce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $933,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $703,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 2c | 72,933$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.81 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 0c | 70,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +423.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 56,233$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.52 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 1c | 37,395$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 3c | 20,100$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 1c | 19,522$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…6c30backed Yes | 2c | 19,171$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 19,113$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.56 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 3c | 12,366$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes | 2c | 11,930$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 11,500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,356$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.92 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 9,963$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 3c | 9,612$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 3c | 8,315$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 6c | 8,297$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.35 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 7c | 8,121$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 3c | 7,558$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23a…7e30backed Yes | 1c | 7,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…0363backed Yes | 5c | 7,046$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 4c | 6,874$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01c…d7f5backed Yes | 1c | 6,638$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed Yes | 1c | 6,362$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…95ecbacked Yes | 8c | 6,229$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 5,926$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,868$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 1c | 5,754$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…5074backed Yes | 1c | 5,692$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 1c | 5,594$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 5,358$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…1609backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 5c | 4,744$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…6547backed Yes | 0c | 4,670$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes | 2c | 4,100$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 2c | 4,088$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…0e96backed Yes | 4c | 3,949$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,943$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 1c | 3,799$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f885backed Yes | 7c | 3,687$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9d…4805backed Yes | 4c | 3,596$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed Yes | 1c | 3,436$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…db0dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,417$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 2c | 3,400$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…0b2ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,132$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 3,063$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,885$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…f763backed Yes | 1c | 2,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 1c | 2,564$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 8c | 2,487$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331e…8632backed Yes | 1c | 2,450$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…2d07backed Yes | 1c | 2,353$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3e…aa89backed Yes | 7c | 2,214$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…f190backed Yes | 1c | 2,142$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 5c | 2,106$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 8c | 2,105$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,057$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 7c | 2,001$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…e720backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…f923backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d79…ce44backed Yes | 4c | 1,765$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 7c | 1,754$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…ba2fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,688$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 1c | 1,674$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…ae6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,625$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed Yes | 4c | 1,617$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…9b05backed Yes | 1c | 1,577$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…a915backed Yes | 6c | 1,552$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 2c | 1,538$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…9dafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,521$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…2250backed Yes | 2c | 1,491$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed Yes | 6c | 1,473$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 1c | 1,388$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,356$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9667…cf72backed Yes | 8c | 1,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,318$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717d…5b34backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 8c | 1,219$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…7d84backed Yes | 6c | 1,144$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa818…7eb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,133$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 1c | 1,105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…317ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,103$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 5c | 1,077$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…fec6backed Yes | 1c | 1,074$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…8eefbacked Yes | 1c | 1,067$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…8749backed Yes | 1c | 1,055$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b8…ed0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,042$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…caa1backed Yes | 2c | 1,033$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…42e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,030$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…9af6backed Yes | 1c | 1,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…12c3backed Yes | 4c | 1,015$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…074abacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f838backed Yes | 6c | 994.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…9c6abacked Yes | 2c | 979.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…2d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 966.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…35fabacked Yes | 1c | 940.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…b184backed Yes | 5c | 931.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.