TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c29…d822

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
639
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT14724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$806.5
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.53
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+404.8%+$481.11
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$107.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$31.73
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.91
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.79
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$138.6
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$189.4
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10625.5%27 W · 79 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$14.28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.94
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$401.54
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,006.92
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.5
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191.03
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$463.81
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158.61
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.72
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,104.97
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$248.48
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+241.9%+$707.5
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+97.1%+$761.32
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+59.6%+$56
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$95.64
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+142.2%+$469.95
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$77.2
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT8921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+105.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.5
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$195
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+64%+$140.01
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48.4
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+167.7%+$125.3
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55.19
Will Siniša Karan win the 2025 Republika Srpska presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2025 Republika Srpska presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+69%+$178.35
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$731.74
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.99
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.84
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+269.5%+$241.06
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.42
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$108.8
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.97
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$416
Will SP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$104.56
Will the Red Bloc win by 4–7 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will the Red Bloc win by 8–11 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.57
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$325.5
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170%+$322.72
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$165
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.76
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147.09
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$467.42
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+1,669.9%+$188.7
Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?backed Adams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+65.3%+$79
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$82.8
Will Henry Kissinger be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.84
Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+513.1%+$753.2
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.54
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$146
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$237.66
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$45.5
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6129.5%18 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+683.9%+$218.11
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.11
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.26
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.39
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$53
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+620.5%+$85.59
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$57.6
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$20.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$420
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$100.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.07
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$73.1
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$389.64
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$299.83
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.31
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.94
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$504.02
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Estonia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.51
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.61
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.95
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+330.8%+$2,000.35
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+327.9%+$223.97
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.77
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will 'Good Luck, Babe!' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$64.26
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+85.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.46
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.7
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.26
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$103.1
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+141%+$387.74
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$193.8
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$235.23
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$558.43
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$318.51
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$1,076
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+2,849.5%+$1,447.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$116.95
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$209
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$633.36
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$233.41
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+202.6%+$133.9
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$560.72
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.22
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.84
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.75
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 16 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.85
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.79
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.69
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+84.7%+$257.25
SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$66.64
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$362.43
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$56.09
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+288%+$826.13
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+400%+$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$360
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$250.4
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+161%+$271.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$323.71
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$121
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+262.5%+$434.77
Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
María Corina Machado arrested before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$246.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-84.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams get over 1% in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$276.6
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+52.5%+$34.43
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.47
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.88
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$383.2
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$322.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Acesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$152
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Mystics vs. Sparksbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $235 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Solana reach $225 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump post about a memecoin before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$111.5
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$108.72
China bans US films in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+296.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+296.6%+$49.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyson vs. Paul - knockout in first 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.