Music · resolved market
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55881f30e5f88d7dece08a4e63daa633a9c1905ff0d454088dc16d19881fe3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,088,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,088,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 191,912$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.93 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 114,421$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.87 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…615abacked Yes | 1c | 100,028$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 86,000$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 73,281$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.09 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 65,982$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.51 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 1c | 45,908$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.31 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 1c | 40,259$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 34,310$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 1c | 30,242$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 3c | 29,719$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 25,119$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes | 1c | 24,254$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,175$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,671$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…f982backed Yes | 1c | 17,469$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 1c | 17,438$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 1c | 14,167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…6b86backed Yes | 1c | 13,217$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 1c | 12,148$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2130backed Yes | 0c | 11,840$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 3c | 11,804$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.38 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…5599backed Yes | 1c | 11,407$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…b819backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,806$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…86bdbacked Yes | 1c | 9,521$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 8,679$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad35…c926backed Yes | 1c | 7,626$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 7,358$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…c5ffbacked Yes | 1c | 6,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…09e0backed Yes | 1c | 6,384$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…2538backed Yes | 1c | 5,517$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,224$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes | 1c | 4,992$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,805$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +197.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…0ef0backed Yes | 1c | 4,571$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,518$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…e934backed Yes | 1c | 4,490$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a8f4backed Yes | 1c | 4,401$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…8674backed Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…aabbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…0906backed Yes | 1c | 4,210$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…0218backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…a693backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…13e8backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…7cc0backed Yes | 1c | 3,684$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,407$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,344$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…e0ffbacked Yes | 0c | 3,166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 1c | 3,067$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdb…b037backed Yes | 1c | 3,028$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…37b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,020$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…1633backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…c49dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,958$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c5d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…bf0ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,823$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7031…6d03backed Yes | 1c | 2,758$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…9550backed Yes | 1c | 2,667$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…86f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,609$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528c…39c5backed Yes | 1c | 2,598$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…47bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,597$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365b…4dacbacked Yes | 1c | 2,574$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4632…9536backed Yes | 1c | 2,531$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…6188backed Yes | 1c | 2,516$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 5c | 2,473$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…400dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,426$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…6114backed Yes | 1c | 2,412$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…f2bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,362$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…3c0ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,348$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,227$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…fe3ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…7133backed Yes | 1c | 2,145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 2c | 2,143$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…98e6backed Yes | 2c | 2,108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 2,068$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 1c | 2,026$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…d3c5backed Yes | 1c | 2,020$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b1fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,014$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…4ca1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…c35fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,991$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…375cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,981$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,973$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…4f59backed Yes | 1c | 1,972$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,837$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…9fa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,834$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…6987backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.