Music · resolved market
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e987e9475018409854fe479e7afa3c86ef9eb6745e58a056c5c4548ea77c97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,779,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,652,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,779,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,810 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 49c | 133,399$64,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,744.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…aca8backed Yes | 46c | 94,471$43,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,302.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…d591backed Yes | 48c | 52,756$25,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,130.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 48c | 48,958$23,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,491.54 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed No | 55c | 45,683$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,683.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 43c | 45,378$19,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,501.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…55d3backed Yes | 48c | 44,792$21,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,594.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 33c | 43,787$14,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,614.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 30c | 43,687$13,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,164.08 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 40c | 43,054$17,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,358.72 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed No | 69c | 42,798$29,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,270.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 39c | 42,278$16,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,558.98 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…43a8backed Yes | 44c | 41,931$18,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,335.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c4…d57dbacked Yes | 49c | 40,665$19,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,898.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 45c | 37,799$17,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,054.38 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 50c | 33,319$16,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,530.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 36c | 32,863$11,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,826.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 56c | 31,857$17,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,902.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 57c | 30,852$17,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,339.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…298cbacked No | 61c | 30,107$18,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,741.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b804backed Yes | 39c | 30,107$11,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 25c | 27,217$6,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…831dbacked No | 66c | 22,831$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 41c | 22,501$9,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 47c | 22,492$10,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,551.77 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 57c | 21,800$12,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,353.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 51c | 21,407$10,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,949.33 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed Yes | 45c | 20,874$9,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,365.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 47c | 19,277$8,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,968.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 40c | 18,676$7,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,528.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 40c | 18,100$7,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,197.44 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…626bbacked Yes | 43c | 17,744$7,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,606.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 40c | 17,715$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…2911backed Yes | 36c | 17,647$6,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 49c | 16,000$7,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,860 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 65c | 15,500$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.88 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 47c | 15,434$7,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,282 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…ac0dbacked Yes | 48c | 14,320$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 43c | 13,878$5,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…9c04backed No | 66c | 11,562$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 58c | 11,327$6,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 44c | 10,968$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.03 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…5dbabacked Yes | 47c | 10,752$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 46c | 10,707$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.78 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 10,160$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 26c | 10,045$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 50c | 9,997$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 22c | 9,771$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…8bc2backed Yes | 52c | 9,746$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 52c | 9,001$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…e986backed No | 56c | 8,914$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…021ebacked No | 50c | 8,296$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed No | 59c | 8,175$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Yes | 43c | 7,366$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 28c | 7,013$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes | 46c | 7,000$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 42c | 6,965$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 35c | 6,801$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 65c | 6,786$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed No | 59c | 6,767$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 42c | 6,438$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 46c | 6,007$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 33c | 5,842$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.53 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Yes | 47c | 5,500$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 43c | 5,450$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.9 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 47c | 5,355$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 52c | 5,029$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…174cbacked Yes | 43c | 4,885$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 47c | 4,841$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.46 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 45c | 4,809$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked No | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…b5a3backed Yes | 31c | 4,793$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 65c | 4,741$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.82 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 70c | 4,673$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…2551backed No | 53c | 4,626$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 54c | 4,540$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 31c | 4,521$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…04b4backed Yes | 14c | 4,469$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 44c | 4,289$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…7936backed No | 49c | 4,246$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 40c | 3,999$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 6c | 3,900$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 43c | 3,853$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,814$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…339fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,732$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…d954backed Yes | 49c | 3,728$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…d9ddbacked Yes | 54c | 3,677$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 46c | 3,663$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.6 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 53c | 3,650$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.14 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed No | 74c | 3,507$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 47c | 3,497$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 27c | 3,390$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…6a54backed No | 53c | 3,369$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed No | 50c | 3,360$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.