Music · resolved market
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcecc6b0236a69618a3ca577c54bb92080b0c9f2dc767de37175baa7ffd08e704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,762,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,762,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 204,165$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.83 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 93,889$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.48 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 1c | 76,509$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 48,672$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.78 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 44,669$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.8 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 44,156$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Yes | 1c | 19,275$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8e…8a65backed Yes | 2c | 18,697$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…2c5ebacked Yes | 2c | 15,380$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 14,303$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 14,224$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc838…cb86backed Yes | 1c | 13,607$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 2c | 12,310$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 1c | 11,826$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…f23bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,849$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…155abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…52dabacked Yes | 1c | 8,940$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…3477backed Yes | 1c | 8,641$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 8,342$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,136$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…a938backed Yes | 2c | 7,928$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 1c | 6,978$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…76babacked Yes | 2c | 6,939$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Yes | 1c | 6,837$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 6,614$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…5a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,585$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,483$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,336$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 1c | 6,060$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 1c | 5,726$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…1367backed Yes | 2c | 5,621$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…c23cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,302$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 2c | 5,228$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…6838backed Yes | 2c | 5,196$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…649ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,007$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 1c | 4,979$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,930$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…fb04backed Yes | 2c | 4,587$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,417$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…76d2backed Yes | 1c | 4,267$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…2538backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…3a04backed Yes | 1c | 4,050$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe95…757dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,012$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 1c | 3,850$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 1c | 3,805$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,725$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad35…c926backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,424$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…1c9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,381$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050b…cf01backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 1c | 3,227$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes | 2c | 3,220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…00ccbacked Yes | 2c | 3,066$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…c0b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…0584backed Yes | 1c | 2,945$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…7cb8backed Yes | 1c | 2,926$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…1b00backed Yes | 2c | 2,832$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…01e4backed Yes | 2c | 2,817$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,810$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,784$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,774$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 1c | 2,741$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,689$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…6250backed Yes | 2c | 2,667$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…e094backed Yes | 1c | 2,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…520bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,529$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…2839backed Yes | 2c | 2,496$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…9f48backed Yes | 1c | 2,479$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…3de3backed Yes | 2c | 2,448$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 2,426$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…254fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,420$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 1c | 2,360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…38ddbacked Yes | 2c | 2,177$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,176$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…e918backed Yes | 2c | 2,175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,089$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,046$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…9c9cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,025$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 2c | 2,001$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…c7cbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,903$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…4e00backed Yes | 1c | 1,884$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a2…0a19backed Yes | 1c | 1,843$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…4c48backed Yes | 1c | 1,772$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,715$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…bd75backed Yes | 1c | 1,690$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,653$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…c78ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,630$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…12adbacked Yes | 1c | 1,574$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…fe8cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,558$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.