TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,078,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,078,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c161,039$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7522927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c131,578$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.69283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-93.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…2136backed Yes1c95,481$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.04230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes1c68,212$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.57329.4%3 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes1c50,328$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.28911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes1c48,996$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.73333%1 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes1c44,639$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.189333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c41,026$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.48561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa053…5c92backed Yes1c24,269$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.79425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9230…155abacked Yes1c20,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes1c19,777$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.757626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c17,532$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.19468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes0c16,989$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.674141.5%17 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c14,552$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.07280%0 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes1c14,096$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.58190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0101…f054backed Yes0c12,520$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb16c…0ebdbacked Yes1c11,590$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes1c10,627$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-91.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes0c10,506$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbf…83bfbacked Yes1c10,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfad…4092backed Yes1c8,891$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff1…de19backed Yes1c8,593$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.59310%0 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3a…6a54backed Yes0c7,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid-18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cf…20c0backed Yes1c7,286$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4d…f26abacked Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55330%0 W · 33 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20370%0 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a5…0825backed Yes1c4,667$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-64.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c4,541$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.79180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…7697backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+176.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a9…da27backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…c939backed Yes1c4,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5f…a693backed Yes1c3,407$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5682…4624backed Yes1c3,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf27…5f0fbacked Yes1c3,357$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes1c3,348$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-92.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1f…d09bbacked Yes1c3,336$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Yes1c3,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-50.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…ada3backed Yes2c3,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38f…d33ebacked Yes1c3,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee49…8df9backed Yes1c3,325$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1588…0f2fbacked Yes1c3,297$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252010%2 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4179…0944backed Yes1c2,826$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff58…c3d4backed Yes1c2,636$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081b…dac7backed Yes1c2,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e2…0638backed Yes1c2,476$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes1c2,430$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-69.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04b2…d48bbacked Yes1c2,347$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d1…9599backed Yes1c2,333$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd21…bc27backed Yes1c2,204$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x513a…7951backed Yes1c2,156$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee83…243ebacked Yes1c2,143$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c2,140$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62680%0 W · 68 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e8…60b1backed Yes1c2,040$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7542…7d09backed Yes1c2,038$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cb…1dc1backed Yes1c2,007$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6110…f46fbacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…2a44backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…43ddbacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes1c2,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.234930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…c5d0backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b78…b81bbacked Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1870%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb918…ef06backed Yes1c1,990$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf027…db3ebacked Yes1c1,968$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d1…1ea7backed Yes1c1,917$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes1c1,875$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…176ebacked Yes1c1,783$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…5ad6backed Yes1c1,773$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x233f…051cbacked Yes1c1,709$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf144…4dcbbacked Yes1c1,587$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes2c1,582$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca7…bc87backed Yes1c1,571$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Yes1c1,559$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f8…4910backed Yes1c1,479$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-71%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes1c1,350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7515119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a3…20d7backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb071…2f88backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca02…919dbacked Yes1c1,222$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd33…b5a8backed Yes1c1,154$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c85…9e34backed Yes1c1,137$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.08263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-94.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e4…4259backed Yes3c935$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2945…0817backed Yes1c808.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576d…ca9bbacked Yes2c647.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.