Music · resolved market
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204ce7129c8eae0dad3f7b1dd795c305bd40772206c6910b8a90d84f3433f8c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,618,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $775,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,618,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf6…a3eabacked Yes | 13c | 70,012$8,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,961.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 67,182$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.71 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Yes | 9c | 55,147$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 3c | 50,766$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 3c | 40,454$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 3c | 39,100$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.19 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 36,391$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.4 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 4c | 36,132$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.89 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 4c | 35,167$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.88 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 4c | 31,559$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.68 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 4c | 31,526$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.42 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 3c | 29,827$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 4c | 24,826$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 4c | 20,756$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.76 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 7c | 19,622$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 5c | 19,573$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 2c | 18,576$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 16,459$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.48 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 4c | 16,232$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 4c | 13,316$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 3c | 12,691$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 4c | 10,708$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 3c | 10,655$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 5c | 9,936$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.13 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 4c | 9,621$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.86 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 3c | 9,296$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 3c | 8,676$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 3c | 8,101$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1870…4ac7backed Yes | 6c | 7,899$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,825$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 3c | 7,300$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes | 3c | 7,023$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…af58backed Yes | 0c | 6,987$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 3c | 6,963$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,595$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 3c | 6,538$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…dacdbacked Yes | 5c | 6,426$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 5c | 6,245$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 8c | 6,137$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…e094backed Yes | 5c | 5,968$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 5,336$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 4,485$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 2c | 4,280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 4c | 4,200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…3482backed Yes | 3c | 3,945$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 9c | 3,929$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 3c | 3,791$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…d954backed Yes | 5c | 3,654$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 4c | 3,502$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…1cbcbacked Yes | 5c | 3,448$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…1981backed Yes | 6c | 3,437$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…f8d6backed Yes | 4c | 3,319$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,167$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 5c | 3,079$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 2c | 2,874$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,648$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…4f0dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,582$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…5f0fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,554$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…b200backed Yes | 12c | 2,540$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 6c | 2,507$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 3c | 2,484$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…6a54backed Yes | 3c | 2,402$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…a1d4backed Yes | 4c | 2,391$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…ef17backed Yes | 4c | 2,362$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 2,220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 5c | 2,189$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 3c | 2,163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 2c | 2,161$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…8121backed Yes | 4c | 2,092$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 3c | 2,039$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…94c7backed Yes | 5c | 2,032$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 4c | 2,009$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…80b8backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…9c04backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Yes | 4c | 1,988$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…8efdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,941$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed Yes | 5c | 1,940$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…7a07backed Yes | 5c | 1,938$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,902$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…9d4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,891$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 2c | 1,872$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,833$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,831$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 4c | 1,783$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 4c | 1,768$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,733$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,701$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed Yes | 3c | 1,672$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 4c | 1,642$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…5360backed Yes | 2c | 1,558$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…4679backed Yes | 3c | 1,550$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,516$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 3c | 1,427$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…0e45backed Yes | 5c | 1,354$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.