TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x179e…ebe8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT726.9%5 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.73
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.8
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.33
Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$77.11
Will "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.98
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 48m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.61
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.67
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.8
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $52m and $57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.37
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $57m and $62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.27
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.99
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $1.5-2m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.02
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.44
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.63
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,092.88
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+84.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$88.95
Will André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will André Ventura win less than 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.1%+$62.18
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.86
Will another person win the South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.01
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+3,603.7%+$720.74
Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.05
Will Nacionalista win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.75
Will Lakas win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.25
Will NPC win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.75
Will PDP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.97
Will Liberal win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will NUP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.55
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.23
Will PFP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$105.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.49
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.11
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.62
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+50%+$1,144.55
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+120.6%+$965.03
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+581.9%+$122.21
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.68
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.61
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.77
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+357.7%+$338.66
All 20 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.32
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.98
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.97
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.77
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+257.1%+$287.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs Feverbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.