TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked PARIVISION77c30,305$23,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,045.6722468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons29c23,407$6,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,698.573,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons33c9,216$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.761,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons23c8,591$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.063,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Team Falcons37c7,258$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION41c6,048$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.9881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Team Falcons36c5,246$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.886953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons62c3,460$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked PARIVISION44c3,250$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.5611452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed PARIVISION71c3,065$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION47c2,940$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.9959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f6…68eabacked PARIVISION44c2,891$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.744100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+204.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked PARIVISION68c2,144$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.334944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa550…836fbacked Team Falcons0c2,136$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Team Falcons53c1,893$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.2419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Team Falcons10c1,804$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.666237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons14c1,514$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed PARIVISION50c1,461$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.099442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Team Falcons16c1,400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked PARIVISION36c1,252$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.591758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked PARIVISION43c1,168$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.5626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Team Falcons14c1,100$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons34c1,061$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7428453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION49c1,027$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.5834156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION41c999.88$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.931,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons20c900$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed Team Falcons18c900$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.19769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons19c887.89$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.061,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed PARIVISION40c849.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.992055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Team Falcons59c840.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Team Falcons10c704.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.248416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION47c661$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons61c657.98$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.379353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Team Falcons49c627.22$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons62c600$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Team Falcons44c589.62$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0356…fd34backed PARIVISION68c573.12$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Team Falcons53c571.04$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.557652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c1…bdacbacked Team Falcons26c508.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12022554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Team Falcons25c473.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.776949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons24c461.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11352834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Falcons33c447.91$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7629128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION40c444.44$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed Team Falcons65c443.35$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3119048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de3…d32fbacked PARIVISION66c436.63$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons20c429.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.833949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons38c399.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9423842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Falcons51c392.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed PARIVISION39c373.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.26637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked PARIVISION40c372.22$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons45c365.36$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.419054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2175…a323backed Team Falcons35c354.86$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa3…0915backed Team Falcons59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons19c334$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.22,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Falcons71c333.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1322365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons58c327.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Team Falcons62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed Team Falcons28c320.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Team Falcons12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed PARIVISION50c270.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.426643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Team Falcons13c264.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed PARIVISION43c260.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4819732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked PARIVISION39c251.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.442420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Team Falcons17c247$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4912752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dbd…dbfbbacked Team Falcons65c246.87$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Team Falcons47c245.46$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3727947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked PARIVISION41c235.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.745234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons60c234.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION43c233.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2315255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Falcons42c220.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.246657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Team Falcons71c214.71$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.264860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked PARIVISION39c214.32$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.89941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed PARIVISION42c209.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.792263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons58c202.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.781,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Team Falcons28c200.93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.952030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41f…c71ebacked PARIVISION65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Team Falcons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x179e…ebe8backed Team Falcons27c197.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.18728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed PARIVISION64c186.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5531372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons58c176.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.085944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4137850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Falcons59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ab…6fcdbacked Team Falcons59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011348.7%55 W · 58 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Falcons59c169.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Team Falcons47c161.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.874151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Team Falcons16c157.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.631,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked PARIVISION66c152.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6365662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked Team Falcons58c151.24$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION64c149$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Falcons22c146.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.912,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed PARIVISION48c145.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb41…5a45backed Team Falcons21c140$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Team Falcons28c130.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8910227.5%28 W · 74 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed Team Falcons57c126$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.825345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Team Falcons55c125.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.58847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Team Falcons31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.87428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.