TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6f6…68ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$228.48
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,778.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$776.2
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,710.3
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$742.64
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+36.5%+$499.58
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+43.9%+$418.09
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$370.75
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440.02
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$627.03
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,131.61
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$521.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.1%+$1,659.47
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,532.87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+128.3%+$3,325.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,187.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,802Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+137.9%+$2,485.04
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,684.68
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$309.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$525.45
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,057.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+397.1%+$1,160.71
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,095.2
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$782.04
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+204.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+525%+$1,680
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$707.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.