Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15f769f43d3900e04ac831fe2d5f12e1c09e67fcab0bd8699e4b8a9ae114a621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,761,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,988,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,761,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 832 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 16c | 255,000$41,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,227.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 106,520$76,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,381.59 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Yes | 17c | 80,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,399.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…c1babacked No | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 16c | 48,697$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,092.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 16c | 45,082$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,863.35 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 43,066$33,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,729.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 17c | 34,671$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,776.86 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 16c | 31,768$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,648.22 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 31,552$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,800.43 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 30,646$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 72c | 29,864$21,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,541.71 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…29aebacked Yes | 16c | 28,125$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,625 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 27,862$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,318.02 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 2c | 25,061$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.21 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 70c | 18,094$12,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.94 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 14,178$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,909.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 80c | 11,500$9,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,190 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…0f71backed Yes | 42c | 8,800$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 18c | 8,626$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.59 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 48c | 7,721$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.13 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 53c | 6,286$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.37 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…56fcbacked Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…284cbacked Yes | 36c | 6,078$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Yes | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 18c | 4,556$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.35 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b767backed Yes | 47c | 4,278$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 18c | 3,926$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 62c | 3,326$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.46 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 37c | 3,274$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.8 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 39c | 3,050$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.46 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 17c | 2,989$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…e497backed Yes | 17c | 2,882$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.78 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,501$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.62 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 56c | 2,416$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…f1c9backed Yes | 69c | 2,414$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,407$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.88 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 17c | 2,346$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738c…72d0backed Yes | 17c | 2,203$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,140$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.2 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…bd5fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,061$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…7ca4backed Yes | 18c | 2,044$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 2,014$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.34 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c0…1885backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…68eabacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…78fbbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 53c | 1,965$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 69c | 1,880$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Yes | 13c | 1,871$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 20cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,838$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.24 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 12c | 1,780$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,745$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.16 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 17c | 1,721$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.48 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…5f34backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +811.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 46c | 1,647$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.32 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 38c | 1,635$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 11c | 1,630$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.2 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 16c | 1,614$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.5 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 18c | 1,600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 10c | 1,590$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.6 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce92…29a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,583$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Yes | 16c | 1,571$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 1,521$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.94 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 17c | 1,518$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 15c | 1,515$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…dbfebacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Yes | 17c | 1,465$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.89 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 16c | 1,325$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 71c | 1,300$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…7584backed Yes | 18c | 1,300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 21cpaid | +239.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 37c | 1,268$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.65 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 17c | 1,250$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,234$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…80ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,203$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 12c | 1,181$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…4d96backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +248.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…29babacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 1,167$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.54 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Yes | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 4c | 1,106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked No | 42c | 1,078$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 37c | 1,073$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.